Jan 23 2020

March 2nd 2020

Those dates represent the day the first confirmed case of Covid-19 that was reported in WA and NY respectively. I find the New Yorker report blasting NY and praising WA interesting. Clearly the death score NY “wins” vs. WA – but is it as simple as that. https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2020/05/04/seattles-leaders-let-scientists-take-the-lead-new-yorks-did-not

State level facts:

Everyone talks about how important testing is – well NY surpassed WA in terms of testing by multiples by day 20 of the first confirmed case – and now 2X Washington.

New York downward curve occurred day 42 vs. Washington day 78…certainly with Washington having the first confirmed case should have given NY an advantage to prepare and be more proactive than Washington.

Lets see if we can understand why NY vs WA is quite an unfair comparison. The two most reported death county in each state New York vs. King.

NY county is almost 74 times more dense than King. NY more likely to use mass transit by almost 6X. Is it fair to think we can compare NY county vs. King County on death metrics.

Hopefully this will help with mass transit – https://mobile.reuters.com/article/amp/idUSKCN2290S5?

“Researchers at a Hong Kong university say they have developed an antiviral coating which could provide 90 days of "significant" protection against bacteria and viruses such as the one causing COVID-19.

The coating, called MAP-1, took 10 years to develop and can be sprayed on surfaces that are frequently used by the public, such as elevator buttons and handrails, researchers at the Hong Kong University of Science and Technology (HKUST) say.

"These places are frequently touched, and, at the same time, serve as a very effective medium for transmission of diseases," said HKUST Adjunct Professor Joseph Kwan, one of the chief researchers in the team that developed the product.”

US death change only 1126 – but it’s the weekend…

Rhode Island has surpassed 5% of per capita testing. NY over 4%

FYI – NYC deaths include – “Probable deaths: People who did not have a positive COVID-19 laboratory test, but their death certificate lists as the cause of death "COVID-19" or an equivalent.” https://www1.nyc.gov/site/doh/covid/covid-19-data.page

Hopefully NY recent uptrend of Daily Death Change is just a temporary blip.

India has a far ways to go for testing…tested only 0.05% of per capita.

Ireland hopefully ready to turn down after plateau for the past few points. Brazil India and Mexico still a concern.