Covid 5/21/20 Addendum

Looks like the NY county death pull is rolled up into 1 for NYC – into NY county. We will work with the source data to rectify this. In the meantime the new correction for fatality rate for NYC below assuming 20% infection per the antibody study.

20934/(8.4 Million x 0.2) =1.2%

Therefore IF you were to get confirmed in NYC your chances of death is 1.2%. Once again this is not age adjusted. IF we age adjust it and ASSUME all deaths under 50 in NYC then

https://covid19tracker.health.ny.gov/views/NYS-COVID19-Tracker/NYSDOHCOVID-19Tracker-Fatalities?%3Aembed=yes&%3Atoolbar=no&%3Atabs=n

(815+307+85+10+4)/(8.4 Million x 0.757(%pop under 50) x 0.2)=0.09%

Under 50 in NYC who get confirmed for every 1000 1 may die.

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