Covid 6/14/20

CDC has issued public guidelines – https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/daily-life-coping/activities.html

Unfortunately they have not offered any updated business guidelines nor proposed mechanical solutions to limit risk giving an option for business to invest and get society more comfortable in venturing out. There are mechanical solutions to mitigate the spread that are not outrageously expensive (HVAC systems, UV light, metals selection, etc..). Mask and more mask is clearly an easy low hanging fruit and should be done as noted in several studies I have posted. Viral load is key – so time becomes an important element as noted in the CDC guideline. IF you plan to be somewhere under 10 minutes the risk mitigation can be much less than if you plan to be in an office environment or restaurant or entertainment venue for hours.

Some of the language is also suspect –

“Older adults and people of any age who have serious underlying medical conditions might be at higher risk for severe illness from COVID-19.”

Not sure on the grouping – why not say older adults who have underlying condition are at higher risk. I don’t think that’s a might – it is a fact you are at higher risk. Risk itself already has uncertainty so there is no need to confuse it with might. ALL the data shows elderly with multiple comorbidities have higher fatality rates hence higher risk. People with MORE than 1 comorbidity is also well documented to have higher risk.

If you are in India it would seem females are worse off than males – https://www.ndtv.com/india-news/coronavirus-women-may-have-higher-covid-19-death-risk-than-men-in-india-study-2245761

“While early evidence indicated that males have higher overall burden across the world, females have a higher relative-risk of COVID-19 mortality in India, the researchers said.”

“Citing the limitations of the study, the researchers said the analysis is based on crowdsourced data with "considerable gaps in reporting of age-sex specific information of all the COVID-19 infections and deaths."

The scientists said the number of confirmed cases in India depends upon the testing facility and capture of the data on age-sex specificities of COVID-19 cases, which they added "has been inadequate."”

Brazil continues to lead the daily death 892. US under 1K – but it is the weekend reporting. US leads in confirmation.

NJ leading the US in death at 132

County view shoes the usual suspects

Ecuador data looks revised so not as bad as yesterday reporting. Phillipines is seeing a big increase. Many are now showing declines including Brazil and Mexico. Spain is essentially zero now.