Covid 6/5/20

Lancet has retracted the study that caused a storm on mass media and proved once again confirmation bias clouds us if we don’t focus on being objective- https://www.thelancet.com/lancet/article/s0140673620313246?

Simple journalism would have uncovered the issue and the simple biases being made – however much of the media is deadest on making someone look like a fool at all cost. Medication like most decisions is a simple risk/reward metric and as I have been noting the risk category for HCQ is extremely low factoring cost and the millions that have already taken HCQ. The rewards may be nothing (placebo) to actually being effective in thwarting covid as many have shown.

Another case indicating viral load and air management as key in spreading of covid – https://www.scmp.com/news/hong-kong/health-environment/article/3087709/coronavirus-kitchen-fans-could-be-behind-latest

“Yuen said he believed the extraction fan in the kitchen could be why the virus spread among the three flats numbered 12.”

In this case the suspect is the kitchen fans spreading covid. The data is limited here and hopefully they can be as thorough if not more than the restaurant and building study I have noted before.

I have read theaters are opening up. The good thing theaters have a ton of air volume space and many are instituting a reduce size of people which should help in viral load reduction. In the end these institutions (retailers/venues) need to implement something to clean the air or at least demonstrate the air is already being cleaned e.g. as on an airplane. The last thing they want is to get a tracing that goes back to them.

If you think containing/managing/curing covid-19 is hard – its not even remotely close to the challenge presented by GHG – https://www.france24.com/en/20200605-atmospheric-co2-levels-hit-new-record-high-despite-covid-19-lockdowns

“Measurements of carbon dioxide, the chief human-caused greenhouse gas, averaged 417.1 parts per million at Mauna Loa, Hawaii, for the month of May, when carbon levels in the air peak, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration said. That’s 2.4 parts per million higher than a year ago.

Even though emissions of carbon dioxide from the burning of fossil fuels dropped by as much as 17% in April, it was a brief decline. Carbon dioxide can stay in the air for centuries, so the short-term reductions of new carbon pollution for a few months didn’t have much of a big picture effect, said NOAA senior scientist Pieter Tans.”

We literally shut the world economy down and we don’t even get much for it. Going green has many other benefits which does not need to be connected to reducing GHG. The GHG goal may be too much for society – adaption seems to be inevitable.

Brazil tops again at 1473 US 1036 Mexico 816

New York back as the leader for the states at 115

Washington county in Arkansas showing to be a new hotspot from our maps. Quick google search https://www.arkansasonline.com/news/2020/jun/02/northwest-arkans-driving-covid-increase/

“Benton and Washington counties accounted for more than two out of every five new coronavirus cases in Arkansas since Sunday, according to figures released in the governor’s pandemic update Monday.”

“The largest daily increase so far, outside of the prison population, was 261 on Thursday. Only three of the 190 new cases reported Monday are in prisons.”

“What role poultry plants play in the outbreak is unknown because not enough testing has been done, Smith said. More than 100 new cases last week were found among poultry workers across the state, according to the Arkansas Department of Health.

The spike in cases among poultry workers prompted protests last week, including demonstrators at four plants Friday owned by Cargill, George’s and Tyson Foods. The protests were organized by poultry workers rights group Venceremos.”

LOL – “role of poultry plants play in the outbreak unknown” – well the data tells you it would seem food processing facilities, prisons, and nursing homes ARE big culprits….one doesn’t need a double blind test and/or hire an outside consultant to analyze the data to tell you that. We should quickly come up with ways to mitigate the viruses in those environments – and the crazy thing is we have the technology to do it. Fresh air hvac, UV lighting, mask, etc…

Unfortunately in a week it would seem Brazil will surpass UK in deaths

Brazil and Mexico no flattening out for them. India continues to rise. Russia looks to flattening out.