Ingenuity – I hope this is real and I expect more to come in terms of mechanical solutions – https://www.yankodesign.com/2020/07/12/uv-mask-is-the-worlds-first-antiviral-face-mask-with-an-active-uv-c-sterilization-for-99-99-clean-air/
Remdesivir good news – https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-southkorea-remdesi-idUSKCN24E0AO
“The Korea Centers for Disease Control and Prevention reported on Saturday results from a first group of 27 patients given remdesivir in different hospitals.
Nine of the patients showed an improvement in their condition, 15 showed no change, and three worsened, KCDC deputy director Kwon Jun-wook told a briefing.
The result had yet to be compared with a control group and more analysis was needed to conclude remdesivir’s benefit, Kwon said.”
Article also notes S. Korea continues to battle small outbreaks but they are doing a very good job with only 289 deaths.
Unfortunately done with the good news:
CDC updated planning scenarios – we got a lot more confirmations to go to get the numbers noted in their scenarios. They are now moving towards 40% being asymptomatic which is close to the recent studies done showing (1 in 3). In order to get the fatality rate to 0.0065 from current levels 17 million MORE need to be confirmed (5.5X from current levels).
Limited immunity from Covid-19 from latest research – much like a cold – https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.07.09.20148429v1.full.pdf
“We suggest that this transient nAb
42 response is a feature shared by both a SARS-CoV-2 infection that causes low disease severity
43 and the circulating seasonal coronaviruses that are associated with common colds. This study
44 has important implications when considering widespread serological testing, Ab protection
45 against re-infection with SARS-CoV-2 and the durability of vaccine protection.”
“In summary, using sequential samples from SARS-CoV-2 infected individuals collected up to
333 94 days POS, we demonstrate declining nAb titres in the majority of individuals. For those
334 with a low nAb response, titres can return to base line over a relatively short period”
Longterm damage in covid-19 patients in Italy – https://www.businessinsider.com/head-icu-bergamo-italy-epicentre-lifelong-damage-recovered-covid-patients-2020-7
“The head of intensive care at a hospital in Northern Italy that was in the center of the country’s outbreak says COVID-19 patients there have been left with serious health issues that may never go away.
Dr Roberto Cosentini, the head of the emergency department at Papa Giovanni XXIII Hospital in Bergamo, Lombardy, told Sky News "we see a significant proportion of the population with chronic damage from the virus."
Cosentini did not specify how large the proportion was.”
Same article above had a link indicating 50% of population in Bregamo infected – https://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-health-coronavirus-italy-antibodies/over-half-of-people-tested-in-italys-bergamo-have-covid-19-antibodies-idUKKBN23F2K1
Death reporting down as usual for Sunday. Brazil 631. India second at 501. Confirmation continue to be high for the US – as noted in CDC this number has to continue to rise IF the fatality rate was going to be near what is projected.
Death leader in US was AZ at 86. FL confirmed 15.3K new covid infections.
FL confirmation 22% came from Miami-Dade which only represent 8% of the population of the state.
Deaths are creaping up but still much lower than the confirmation rate. IF Harris county was to converge to CDC fatality rate of 0.0065 then an additional 25K need to be confirmed without any incremental death. For each additional death 153 more person need to be confirmed.
Houston is getting federal assistance now – so not sure if all the sudden we wont hit the ICU limit they were indicating. Still the trajectory is still there. Yesterday did show a drop in covid-19 ICU beds.
Mexico has past Italy in total deaths. But death per capita is still much lower than Italy
