Covid 8/7/20

There has been a significant update on how deaths are being reported in TX and most notably Harris County. There was this article back on July 27th – not sure if it is connected but only recently has John Hopkins data and also TX data now observing this new number. https://www.khou.com/article/news/health/coronavirus/texas-covid-19-death-numbers-jump/285-19fc2cc4-a1ab-4d28-88a2-e439a176eb60

This impacts the fatality rate – which I have been boasting about – now I have to take some of that back – guess if its too good to be true its too good to be true? Overall still the fatality rate is not high relative to the rest of the dataset at under 2% now.

This revision is going to cause us to revamp the data as the JH data comes in two sets – a daily set and time series set. The daily set is still not updated to the time series.

Likely many will be reporting US large death increases of near 2K….863 is due to TX – which a large portion is due to the data revision – particularly if you don’t update the history set – you will see a big jump. Will the media take the time to research the issue?

County data map it becomes obvious something went awry when Harris county is the lone red county at 654 death increase

Data cleansing time….the positive thing is they revised the history set – its better to be consistently wrong than randomly right in data in my opinion.

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