Covid 9/12/20

get your news from reliable sources & think critically about everything that you hear. there’s no way to hack logic.” Eric Snowden

For the conspiracy folks – https://nypost.com/2020/09/11/chinese-virologist-says-she-has-proof-covid-19-was-made-in-wuhan-lab/

“A Chinese virologist who has reportedly been in hiding for fear of her safety has stepped out into the public eye again to make the explosive claim that she has the scientific evidence to prove COVID-19 was man-made in a lab in China.”

“She insisted that widespread reports that the virus originated last year from a wet market in Wuhan, China, are “a smokescreen.”

“The first thing is the [meat] market in Wuhan … is a smokescreen and this virus is not from nature,” Yan claimed, explaining that she got “her intelligence from the CDC in China, from the local doctors.”

“Yuan Zhiming, the director of the Wuhan Institute of Virology, has previously denied reports that the bug accidentally spread from his facility.

“There’s no way this virus came from us,” Zhiming told state media in April.”

County view is lacking in the press. State aggregation is typically too high to really understand the issues. Below is a chart that shows for the last 30 days counties with 500+ confirmation and the associated fatality rate sorted stopping at 4%

Interestingly the leader in the category is Essex MA (9.85%) which has not been discussed as the Southern states have been in the news with large confirmation and deaths. For this to be the case it must be a nursing home case would be my hypothesis – upon further investigation https://www.newburyportnews.com/news/regional_news/nursing-homes-fall-short-on-covid-19-testing/article_607111f2-3059-57d0-8a50-264d3c5838a2.html

“Nursing homes have been hit hard by the coronavirus outbreak. More than two-thirds of the 5,772 COVID-19 deaths in Massachusetts as of Thursday have occurred in nursing homes and other long-term elderly care facilities, according to the state Department of Public Health.”

Greenwood South Carolina seems also very high (8.26%) – once again quick search – https://www.wyff4.com/article/111-patients-test-positive-in-upstate-nursing-home-covid-outbreak/33757941

“More than 100 patients have tested positive in a COVID-19 outbreak at an Upstate nursing home. NHC Greenwood is reporting 111 active coronavirus cases and five deaths.

According to their spokeswoman, Casey Reese, the facility had managed to keep patients coronavirus-free until this month, when it went from 0 cases to 111 since the first week in August.”

It is very important to understand these details as policy and rules to prevent covid deaths need to be directly focused to these issue. Shutting down general economic activity is not attacking the root of the issue if deaths are a result of nursing home mismanagement.

The next in line is Bexar County TX (San Antonio) – quick search found a data concern https://www.expressnews.com/news/local/politics/article/State-overcounts-COVID-19-deaths-in-Bexar-County-15456054.php

“Metro Health officials say they believe the state’s numbers are inflated and include people who died in Bexar County hospitals but lived elsewhere, and some who weren’t tested for the disease but whose death certificates nonetheless listed COVID-19 as a cause.”

“The state also said it records deaths based “on where the person lived.”

But Kurian said the state has relied on permanent addresses in Bexar County to determine where people lived — even though some people were living outside the county when they died.

“We did have many cases that resided outside of Bexar County jurisdictions, although their permanent address was Bexar County,” Kurian said. “What is happening is that nobody is verifying that address.”

Bexar County Judge Nelson Wolff said about 20 percent of people in Bexar County hospitals live outside the county.”

Aggregation of data does not let you understand the issues that are at play. State aggregation is causing data issues to wrong diagnosis on how to remedy the issue.

On the other end of the spectrum these counties had over 500 confirmations but less tha 0.5% fatality rate – many are at 0

US death back on top but that was with several days below 1K

Texas leading death 297

Once again the leading county in TX is not a populated location but border county Hidalgo (47) – actually tied with Miami-Dade FL. Several counties along the border in TX reported deaths yesterday.