Covid 9/27/20

There are so many papers out there on covid now – but the most important paper still is not catching as much press as these recent ones I have seen – https://www.bloomberg.com/amp/news/articles/2020-09-24/covid-doctors-follow-dna-trail-to-potential-immune-treatment. The #2 supercomputer in the world was used to conclude this paper from Oak Ridge – we should be focused on the Bradykinin system – we discussed this back on 9/2/20 https://covid19mathblog.com/2020/09/covid-9-2-20/ . This to me is like string theory to quantum mechanics – a unifying theory for all things covid.

Where is the push just to be healthy vs. all these magic vaccine solutions to $1000+ drug treatments? — FROM UK – https://t.co/MqOorErvHy?amp=1

20X likely to die from covid IF you have a pre-existing condition

Of course the breakdown is suspect with the bulk in the OTHER condition – but nonetheless the other conditions are a decent size – Diabetes, Dementia, Kidney disease – Clearly being older and healthy which at some level is inversely correlated but there are older people who are very healthy so there is a possibility to do things to shift the odds into your favor.

Also noted from above just being under 60 by itself shifts the odds in your favor by almost 12X – which then brings us a discussion to other deaths which we SHOULD believe DEATHS are DEATHS and we should try avoid all deaths – but at the same time lets be real and realize a youthful death certainly is more tragic than older death. Closing the economy DOES equate to increase poverty and social stress on the youthful demographic. You want proof for the logic- 2011 Study – https://www.publichealth.columbia.edu/public-health-now/news/how-many-us-deaths-are-caused-poverty-lack-education-and-other-social-factors

“…the risks associated with both poverty and low education were higher for individuals aged 25 to 64 than for those 65 or older.”

“The investigators found that approximately 245,000 deaths in the United States in the year 2000 were attributable to low levels of education, 176,000 to racial segregation, 162,000 to low social support, 133,000 to individual-level poverty, 119,000 to income inequality, and 39,000 to area-level poverty. 
Overall, 4.5% of U.S. deaths were found to be attributable to poverty—midway between previous estimates of 6% and 2.3%”

Food for thought….Lets not look away from obvious solutions that allow use to continue on with our lives….viral load reduction can be mechanically done with multiple benefits….forcing healthier lifestyle will yield multiple benefits beyond covid mortality….vaccine or any magic treatment does not necessarily equate to better living – similar to stents and lower cholesterol drugs – all they did was to allow one to live their current lifestyle while riding the cost on society vs. changing lifestyle. Of course there are exceptions to those who are genetically disposed beyond the help of lifestyle – but I am trying to point out the majority and does not preclude helping those that really need help. For some reason it seems to be so easy to talk about externalities when it comes to global warming – how about the externalities of choosing certain lifestyle? IF we paid for choosing our lifestyles then it would be appropriate – but we don’t want that therefore there needs to be an underlying push to the most cost effective lifestyle for the general public.

A good Sunday as US under 1K

FL leading US at 107 – NY confirmations jumped over 1000

Once again Miami-Dade leads all counties at 29 King County NY leads NY counties in confirmations at 203.

Deaths still rising in key countries in Europe