Covid 9/29/20

School opening hypothesis clarification – the opening of school is just a date and that their will be schools who implement safety protocols and preventative actions better than others. The fact of opening school or shutting down in person school will likely not change the current trajectory IF appropriate measures are taken. Doing the same thing and expecting different results will yield bad results. Online schooling could lead to gatherings at peoples home which likely do not offer the safety and preventative options schools can do (e.g. increase fresh air ventilation, HEPA filters, etc..) – at the same time the approach for online SHOULD be less population gathering together. The confirmation of younger individual will likely not lead to increase deaths vs. other spreading areas in society. The focus of schools may likely be overblown compared to other parts of society. Time will tell if this is a NULL hypothesis.

TX results showing the school opening in Dallas and Bexar seems to be leading to more confirmation – but deaths are not translating. The closing of Travis and El Paso are leading to no uptick in confirmation.

FL Palm Beach and Pinellas both open in person and did not see a rise in confirmation but Palm Beach did observe additional deaths. Broward who remained close continued their trajectory of reduce confirmation and deaths

San Diego had 20% in person and did not observe anything different. Santa Clara being closed is actually observing a decline in confirmation but an increase in deaths.

In OH Mahoning and Stark had in person and did not observe much difference (death scale very small)

CO Boulder stayed online yet compared to the counties that opened they saw a greater increase. Community activity in Boulder was greater – which indicates schools could be a much smaller piece of the puzzle for covid spread. Interestingly Boulder has 0 deaths whereas others are staying in the range of history.

In PA we see Centre county which has 50% in person saw an increase in confirmation but they have hardly any deaths whereas Dauphin is increasing.

Another great reporting day for the US 316 deaths

TX the leader at 62

Almost half of TX in the border county Hidalgo 31

Data issues for sure in Harris County – trust is very low.

Looks like the deaths in Europe are flattening out for Spain, Franck, UK, and Italy

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