Covid19mathblog.com – Winter is coming….and its not the white walkers you have to fear – germophobes do not watch – https://twitter.com/MollyJongFast/status/1317242187793530882?s=09
They note that contagion risk increase in dry indoor conditions in the winter time! Humidifiers and Open Windows are suggested! MORE electricity and gas consumption!
Ugh its still 2020 – https://www.pnas.org/content/early/2020/10/06/2001046117
We could be going from severe acute respiratory syndrome SARS to Swine acute diarrhea syndrome SADS?
Besides the awful conditions of our food system – it can bring some nasty diseases to society – We need to do something to change this.
“Infection with the novel swine acute diarrhea syndrome coronavirus (SADS-CoV) was associated with acute diarrhea and vomiting with 90% mortality rates in piglets less than 5 d of age”
“we demonstrate human susceptibility potential by demonstrating efficient SADS-CoV infectivity and growth in primary human cells, derived from both the lung and intestine (33). Moreover, efficient SADS-CoV replication in the primary intestinal cells also support an earlier hypothesis that some emerging bat coronaviruses may initially replicate efficiently in the human alimentary track and stroma, before evolving efficient replication phenotypes in the lung (25).”
“SADS-CoV also has a broad host range and replicates efficiently in primary human lung and intestinal cells. Due to the variability in infection efficiency seen between various donors of human primary cells, it is likely that in the case of a spillover, we would see a range of SADS-CoV severity in human patients. Swine are known amplifying hosts for several human pathogens, providing an infrastructure for the possibility of future emergence events. To date, there is no evidence of virus replication in humans (10). However, the ability of SADS-CoV to replicate in human primary cells indicates the potential for spillover of SADS-CoV into humans.”
“With the 2019 reemergence of this virus in the swine population in China (81), continued surveillance of swine is critical. Additionally, individuals in the swine industry should be regularly evaluated for evidence of infection in order to reduce the potential of outbreaks. Consistent with the phylogenetic distance in the S glycoproteins (Fig. 1A), little, if any, significant levels of cross-neutralizing human or swine herd immunity appear to exist between the contemporary alphacoronavirus tested and the SADS-CoV. While recognizing an unexplored potential for T cell contributions and given this collection of phenotypes, we suggest the need for continued One Health surveillance (82, 83), screening of swine workers in outbreak settings, BSL3 containment and that the development and testing of candidate vaccines and drugs should be prioritized to protect the health of human populations as well as economically important domesticated livestock.”
Seriously this could be way worse than covid-19 in terms of potential to impact the youth! Its time to make the change in our food system sooner than later.
Well London is going into lockdown – https://mobile.reuters.com/article/amp/idUSKBN2700O3
“- London, the world’s international financial capital, will enter a tighter COVID-19 lockdown from midnight on Friday as Prime Minister Boris Johnson seeks to tackle a swiftly accelerating second coronavirus wave.”
“The main impact of the move to "high" is that people cannot meet other households socially indoors in any setting, for example at home or in a restaurant. Travel should be reduced where possible, Hancock said.”
“Britain’s move to halt socialising in its capital means that London and Paris – Europe’s two richest cities – are shortly to be living under the shadow of state-imposed restrictions as the second wave of the pandemic spreads through Europe.
President Emmanuel Macron announced night curfews for four weeks from Saturday in Paris and other major cities.”
“In a show of defiance, Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham said he was unwilling to impose a local lockdown that would sacrifice swathes of the city’s economy without proper financial support from central government.
"They are willing to sacrifice jobs and businesses here to try and save them elsewhere," Burnham said. "The north is fed up of being pushed around."
Good luck in policing this without China like rules and regulation….Most health and environmental policies are quite regressive in reality. The wealthy can buy all the necessities so their last fringe purchase is creating a healthier environment (whether pollution or viruses/bacteria) and the only way to do this is to regulate society. Whereas the general population would like to have the fringe concern but they are too busy focusing on daily living requirements and the odds of death from poverty/malnutrition way overwhelms the odds from diseases and pollutions – hence the 1970’s occurred in the US and the current pollution trends in China – it was a concerted decision to weigh the value of obtaining necessities and weighing the health risk. It is a luxury to be able to focus on the environment – basics of the individuals need to be covered else you will get mass revolt at some point. As noted in the data there excess deaths occurring that is result of choices in “preventing” covid-19. Do nothing is not a good choice – but do something better as you learn more is always an option.
No country above 1K – US leads at 883
FL leads at 94
LA leads all county at 21 – El Paso TX has a surge of confirmation even though school is closed 1591
Big 4 counties – added avg state temp – not the hump in temps in hum in confirmation. LA seems to have other issues. Having a lockdown for LA is not helping.
Both France and UK are now over 100 deaths a day on the 7 day MA
