Covid19mathblog.com

Big push to let people know the alarming level of confirmation in US – yet not many deaths so far. Also discussion of greater hospitalization as if that metric is without a doubt a real metric above beyond a confirmation. Unfortunately hospitalization data is not uniform and not accessible for every state and there are revenue concerns driving some of that number. From John Hopkins database we do see the surge in confirmation surpassing the summer peak. We also see the death figures holding flat.

If we look just at the last two weeks we see the big drivers of over 30% come from TX, IL, CA, WI, FL, and TN.

Those top states certainly have increased testing

If we look further down the county leaders Cook IL represents 2.6% of total confirmations the past 2 weeks followed by LA Ca at 2.1% then El Paso TX at 1.5%. LA has been in lockdown but to no avail. All our democratic run counties.

Very good day in terms of death reporting not so much so on confirmations. US at 477 with 67K confirmed

TN leads the death count at 32. High confirmation per capita is likely indicating double dipping in confirmed.

Leading death county Riverside CA at 16 – confirmations are El Paso TX and Cook IL both over 1500

Cook IL has surpassed their previous peak – on the positive front deaths/confirmed keeps falling for them. There is no pick up in any deaths even 3 weeks back for IL. It would seem they are testing quite a bit and not getting much issue. Temps have fallen and hence more likely for increased confirmation as congregating inside with less ventilation is likely.

As seen above France is leading the confirmations and continue to show bid increases – deaths are slowly rising – now 200 deaths per day