Covid 10/6/20

Test and trace and regional lock down was what the best direction in the beginning as showed by S. Korea. However now that we have more data from all ages and types of people with over 35 Million confirmed and 1 million dead – we know a lot more than we did in the beginning. It is time to adapt with new knowledge. The Great Barrington Declaration is that movement to take what we learn and adapt how we respond – https://gbdeclaration.org/

The only thing missing in the declaration is a discussion on personal accountability of personal choices impacting health. We know for a fact certain comorbidity are impactful to the odds of survival. Governments duty is to educate and offer assistance to help make the better personal choice to shift the odds in the favor of their govern body. The public must be educated that they are not powerless and that they can do more beyond wearing a mask but by choosing a healthier lifestyle. Whole foods and limiting process foods would go a long way.

Mechanism to reduce viral load should also be promoted as they are not rocket science nor do cost significant amounts of money – increase ventilation – new filtration mechanism. Our cozy lifestyle is what caused a lot of the infection as seen in the data in 1st world regions.

“Coming from both the left and right, and around the world, we have devoted our careers to protecting people. Current lockdown policies are producing devastating effects on short and long-term public health. The results (to name a few) include lower childhood vaccination rates, worsening cardiovascular disease outcomes, fewer cancer screenings and deteriorating mental health – leading to greater excess mortality in years to come, with the working class and younger members of society carrying the heaviest burden. Keeping students out of school is a grave injustice.

Keeping these measures in place until a vaccine is available will cause irreparable damage, with the underprivileged disproportionately harmed.

Fortunately, our understanding of the virus is growing. We know that vulnerability to death from COVID-19 is more than a thousand-fold higher in the old and infirm than the young. Indeed, for children, COVID-19 is less dangerous than many other harms, including influenza.”

“The most compassionate approach that balances the risks and benefits of reaching herd immunity, is to allow those who are at minimal risk of death to live their lives normally to build up immunity to the virus through natural infection, while better protecting those who are at highest risk. We call this Focused Protection.”

“Those who are not vulnerable should immediately be allowed to resume life as normal. Simple hygiene measures, such as hand washing and staying home when sick should be practiced by everyone to reduce the herd immunity threshold. Schools and universities should be open for in-person teaching. Extracurricular activities, such as sports, should be resumed. Young low-risk adults should work normally, rather than from home. Restaurants and other businesses should open. Arts, music, sport and other cultural activities should resume. People who are more at risk may participate if they wish, while society as a whole enjoys the protection conferred upon the vulnerable by those who have built up herd immunity.”

“Dr. Martin Kulldorff, professor of medicine at Harvard University, a biostatistician, and epidemiologist with expertise in detecting and monitoring of infectious disease outbreaks and vaccine safety evaluations.

Dr. Sunetra Gupta, professor at Oxford University, an epidemiologist with expertise in immunology, vaccine development, and mathematical modeling of infectious diseases.

Dr. Jay Bhattacharya, professor at Stanford University Medical School, a physician, epidemiologist, health economist, and public health policy expert focusing on infectious diseases and vulnerable populations.”

Speaking of school opening – it would seem schools are not the carrier location as many are concerned about – sure there will be school systems not implementing appropriate measures and there will be spreading as much as flu and colds spread in school – but the evidence so far does not show schools create super spreading events. Other activities are leading to increase spreading.

In Texas Bexar had 55% in person compare to Travis at 15% they did observe a spike in confirmation day 25 but that has not lead to any significant change in deaths. El Paso is 20% in person yet they are starting to show a rise in confirmation – its not school.

In Florida Broward has 0% in person whereas Pinellas and Palm Beach 100% in person – and nothing of significance. Palm beach has a slight up tick and confirmation and death but nothing historically big.

CA – its unfortunate they don’t have more dispersion of choices in CA – the most comparable is San Diego at only 20% in person and Santa Clara at 0. No big difference in the two.

In Ohio Lorrain stayed closed for in person school. Stark and Mahoning 100% in person. Mahohing is seeing a spike in confirmation now which is not translating to deaths yet. Mahoning prevention should be examined relative to the other counties that opened up.

In Colorado – Boulder did only 25% in person whereas Adams and El Paso doubled that. Yet it is Boulder with a spike in confirmation – once again proving its not school that is prime spreading event.

In PA Dauphin had 0 in school and Centre had 50% in person. Centre is seeing a spike in confirmation. They should be seriously examining their process compared to the counties that had no issues. So far this has not translated into any deaths.

US below 500 – but Mexico shot up at 2789

Texas leads the US at 117

Once again when Texas leads it usually a border county – this time its Cameron at 70

Big 4 counties are all trending down on deaths

Ireland is also seeing a jump in confirmations – hence perhaps they are looking for another lockdown- the good news deaths so far have not increased as rapidly – https://amp.independent.ie/world-news/coronavirus/nphet-has-recommended-the-highest-level-of-restrictions-for-the-entire-country-39587101.html