Covid 10/7/20

Lets think harder on what is being reported….

Some interesting stats thrown out by media on S. Dakota – https://abcnews.go.com/US/south-dakota-gov-kristi-noem-lockdowns-useless-states/story?id=73451385

“South Dakota had the second highest number of new cases per capita — behind North Dakota — according to The COVID Tracking Project. But on Tuesday, South Dakota rose to first place, with the highest positivity rate of any state over the past 14 days, at 23.64%, the tracking project said.

The national average rate over the same 14-day span was just 4.7%.”

“The state saw its worst month on record for active cases in September with residents between the ages of 20 and 39 making up for the bulk of positive diagnoses.”

IF the article attempted to balance the discussion they would also note that S. Dakota has one of the lowest fatality rates in the country. They would also give a perspective on what the last 2 weeks are relative to the past. To filter the last two weeks without perspective is pure statistical manipulation to push an agenda. Why would NY, CA, FL, TX, and AZ have large confirmations per capita the last two weeks – they are all coming off their big wave of confirmations. A non-lockdown approach WILL get more confirmation – it is supposed to be about managing the hospitals AT LEAST that’s how it was sold in the beginning for lockdowns. As noted but not explained or highlighted the bulk of positive diagnoses 20-39 therefore IF what we know is true it should be limited hospital visits and a stronger society base of immunity. S. Dakota is far away from being even close to the eastern states such as CT, MA, NJ and NY – in the statistic category which ultimately matters – Death

It is impressive S. Dakota and N. Dakota recent PER CAPITA weekly confirmations – however in terms of perspective to other states which did have lockdowns its IMPRESSIVE it is not higher as of right now – SHOULDN’T lockdowns/quarantine REDUCE confirmations more than without? Perhaps the Dakota’s will surpass the other states peaks as it continues to get cold – time will tell. However deaths need to also be monitored as that is the ultimate statistical category – but for the effectiveness of quarantine confirmations would be a good statistic to watch. I think human behavior which cannot be policed well – at least in US – will eventually cause rise in confirmations regardless of quarantine rules. We are lot more social in the US and the spread is not from some stranger its from a get together with friends and relatives which policing is near to impossible.

S.Dakota did see temps below freezing last week which could explain the rise – its ventilation!

FINALLY CDC is on the bandwagon – https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/prevent-getting-sick/how-covid-spreads.html

“Avoid crowded indoor spaces and ensure indoor spaces are properly ventilated by bringing in outdoor air as much as possible. In general, being outdoors and in spaces with good ventilation reduces the risk of exposure to infectious respiratory droplets.”

State and local officials need to push the agenda to bring more outdoor air – make business and landlord show the amount of outdoor air that is being brought in by the HVAC – force adjusting the economizer – increase local building requirements.

Vaccine in China is progressing well – https://in.reuters.com/article/health-coronavirus-china-vaccine-idINKBN26S0FK

“A Chinese experimental coronavirus vaccine being developed by the Institute of Medical Biology under the Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences was shown to be safe in an early stage clinical trial, researchers said.

In a Phase 1 trial of 191 healthy participants aged between 18 and 59, vaccination with the group’s experimental shot showed no severe adverse reactions, its researchers said on Tuesday in a paper posted on medRxiv preprint server ahead of peer review.”

“China has at least four experimental vaccines in the final stage of clinical trials.”

Another day under 1K for the US

Leading state TX with 91

Leading county in Texas border county Hidalgo at 18 – still the leading county for all US is LA at 27

The big 4 continue to decline in deaths and flattening out in confirmations.

The comforts of modern society explains the recent uptick in Europe – see temp charts below. We have to use more energy – open windows – increase ventilation in buildings – your own home probably okay not to increase ventilation IF you don’t have anyone coming over.

London Temp

It even got cold in Buenos Aires Argentina

Cold in Brussels