Covid19mathblog.com

I am not sure why so much euphoria on the press release by Pfizer – it is good news – but not really significant reporting in the grand scheme of things. They fail to release the medical study to any medical journal. If you look into the math they supplied 44K tested – 94 infected – 8 with vaccine. Lets just assume they split the test so 22K had the placebo. The highest infection rate of this sample is super small given the confirmation per capita seen in some US county. IF we assume ALL infected ex known vaccine (94-8) came from the placebo group then you have 88/22000=0.4% confirmed/capita. This compared to LA 14.4% Harris County TX 3.86%. A potential reason for such low confirmation rate is they tested healthy young demographic vs. who would be really taking this vaccine first.

More 2020 depressing news – not only getting covid and being quarantined for 14 days was bad enough – but it would seem mental issues could prolong as a survivor of covid-19 – but I suspect the surrounding of jobless debt etc…wouldn’t help. https://nypost.com/2020/11/09/many-covid-19-patients-later-develop-mental-illness-study-finds/

“Twenty percent of coronavirus patients later develop a new mental illness, according to a study”

“The study group was twice as likely to suffer from a new mental illness than other groups of patients during the same period, researchers said.”

Deaths below 1K again – top country is France at 559 – Confirmation still crazily rising in the US at 120K

Number 1 death state Michigan. NY had a revision in death of almost 200! Illinois continues to lead in confirmation at an astronomical figure of 10573!

Almost half of Illnois death came from Cook County IL

Even though Michigan lead in deaths – county wise they made #5 with Ken Michigan. Leading county for death San Diego at 30.

Testing in Cook Il has increased – https://ccdphcd.shinyapps.io/covid19/ IF you graph with just 1 test result per person it’s a shocking 27.5% positivity rate! ISOLATE THE REGION – if this is true.

I think there is something wrong with John Hopkins reporting at the same time. IF we assume 30% positive and you believe the data above that peak testing at 7K a day then its only 2100 confirmation not the near 4K being reported by John Hopkins data…..grrrrr

Cook IL is becoming too much of an outlier in the dataset – but if people don’t look it on a county basis you wont see it.

No major trend change in Europe