Covid 11/25/20

Covid19mathblog.com

There is a discussion CDC is expected to lower quarantine time. Before jumping to any potential political agenda there is a paper on this indicating Covid-19 is not a long lasting virus – https://www.thelancet.com/action/showPdf?pii=S2666-5247%2820%2930172-5

“Interpretation Although SARS-CoV-2 RNA shedding in respiratory and stool samples can be prolonged, duration of

viable virus is relatively short-lived. SARS-CoV-2 titres in the upper respiratory tract peak in the first week of illness.

Early case finding and isolation, and public education on the spectrum of illness and period of infectiousness are key

to the effective containment of SARS-CoV-2”

“SARS-CoV-2 viral load in the upper respiratory tract appeared to peak in the first week of illness,

whereas that of SARS-CoV peaked at days 10–14 and that of MERS-CoV peaked at days 7–10.”

Large death number for the US 2146! Along with 173K confirmation – this is certainly making it tough to be thankful for the year. US sits at 260K deaths for the year.

Europe deaths are climbing while confirmations going down

Texas leads both deaths and confirmation

However on a county basis Texas doesn’t even show up in the Top 5 for confirmation or death. LA California and Cook County IL are still the hot spot. El Paso TX leads tx counties.

Yesterday Map

30 day view of Confirmation – Leading Cook County IL then Los Angeles CA. Cook IL needs to be a headline on all major media and a study should be done to figure out what is going on there.

30 Day Death – Same story Cook IL leading the country in Deaths.

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