Covid 11/30/20

Covid19mathblog.com

Interesting site to describe conditions and probabilities to getting covid. Obviously I have not validated all these scenarios – but looks like quite a bit of thought went into the site. A little slow to open. Perhaps a good guide for those looking to entertain. https://indoor-covid-safety.herokuapp.com/

Under 1K death worldwide – buts it’s a Sunday report…

I had to change graph from 30K to 100K+ – amazing to see how much the US is up there – but on a confirmation per capita not the worse

I needed to update the Death chart from 1K+ to 5K+ – US leads again but much lower than avg on a per capita basis

CA leads states in confirmation – PA leads death

County wise we have LA leading confirmation and Cook IL leading death

Not that disperse today

Positive news confirmations going down for Cook IL – LA unfortunately rising – now way above summer peak. Fatality rate seems to be converging around 2%. IF you get covid you have a 2% chance of dying. If you incorporate age the probability widens significantly.

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