Covid19mathblog.com
Another study to conclude LED UV light can eliminate covid-19 in a matter of 30 seconds – https://www.medicalnewstoday.com/articles/study-reveals-uv-led-lights-effectively-kill-the-human-coronavirus#Scientists-put-UV-LEDs-to-the-test
“Using the human coronavirus OC43 (HCoV-OC43) as a substitute for SARS-CoV-2, the research team tested different UV LED bulbs emitting varying wavelengths — measured in nanometers (nm) — to see which would effectively inactivate the HCoV-OC43 virus.
After exposing viral suspensions placed in darkened tubes to UV LED light, the team found that wavelengths of 285 nm were highly effective at inactivating the virus and almost as effective as wavelengths of 265 nm, inactivating 99.9% of the coronavirus in under 30 seconds.”
LA is in trouble for sure – this was seen over a month ago in the data. Interestingly they have been one of the most restrictive counties but all that did not stop this. Whereas San Fran just north is doing so much better. A study of the difference is needed. The other thing to note from LA is their convoluted metrics they use – 0% ICU beds available – which doesn’t mean what it says….Now they have lost the Rose Bowl (going to be in Dallas TX now) and now must allow worshiping per the Supreme Court ruling – https://www.dailynews.com/2020/12/19/as-la-county-tops-600000-cases-officials-lift-ban-on-indoor-worship/
“As 13,756 new cases reported on Saturday, Dec. 19 pushed Los Angeles County’s total past the sad milestone of 600,000 since the pandemic began — public health officials announced they are modifying stay-home orders to allow for indoor and outdoor worship, in response to recent Supreme Court rulings.”
Article on convoluted metric – https://www.dailynews.com/2020/12/18/what-public-health-leaders-mean-by-0-icu-beds-available/
“As intensive care units fill with coronavirus patients like never before, the state’s calculation hinges on an ideal that no more than a third of a region’s intensive care patients have COVID-19. If more than 30% of ICU beds are in use by COVID-19 patients in a county, or the region as a whole, it’s reported available ICU capacity is reduced by half a percentage point for each percentage point over that threshold.
For example, 9.2% of Orange County’s staffed adult ICU beds were available by Friday, Dec. 18, according to the OC Health Care Agency. But because 57% of the county’s 628 active ICU beds were taken by coronavirus patients – well above the state’s 30% limit – Orange County’s capacity was downgraded to 0%.”
The only thing really makes sense is 9.2% of ICU beds available. The next question is this really low? Well if you dig enough you can find https://t.co/m52bH9oUop?amp=1
It looks like for flu related outbreak their baseline is around right here based on August 2009 study. They removed the original link of the report once this report started circulating – lucky the waybackmachine is available.
Collateral damage from Covid response – https://www.sfgate.com/news/amp/Overdose-deaths-far-outpace-COVID-19-deaths-in-15816356.php
“A record 621 people died of drug overdoses in San Francisco so far this year, a staggering number that far outpaces the 173 deaths from COVID-19 the city has seen thus far.”
US under 3K deaths
Over a billion test administered worldwide – 7.5% confirmation rate.
US stats are all about CA in terms of contagion spread
Deaths more scattered but confirmation is Southern CA
Southern CA are the top 3 counties in confirmation for the country!
Only going to get worse in LA
