Covid 1/18/21

Covid19mathblog.com

Another variant form….it is a virus…. https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2021-01-17/covid-19-coronavirus-vaccine-update-pandemic

“Researchers have identified the strain in a dozen counties and have linked it to several large outbreaks in Santa Clara County. The California Department of Public Health said it’s not yet clear whether the variant is highly contagious or is just being identified frequently as lab work becomes more sophisticated.”

““This virus continues to mutate and adapt, and we cannot let down our guard,” said Dr. Sara Cody, Santa Clara County health officer and director of the Public Health Department, in a prepared statement.”

“The variant carries three mutations in the spike protein, which the virus uses to attach to and enter cells, said Dr. Charles Chiu, a virologist at UC San Francisco.

The two COVID-19 vaccines on the market in the U.S., produced by Pfizer-BioNTech and Moderna, train the body’s immune system to target the spike protein. This means that, in theory, the virus mutations could alter the spike protein to a degree that the vaccines become less effective.”

“The variant is not the same as the highly contagious strain first identified last month in the United Kingdom. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention warned Friday that the U.K. variant, known as B117, could become the dominant coronavirus strain in the U.S. by March because it spreads so quickly.

Los Angeles County on Saturday confirmed its first case of the B117 variant in a man who had spent time in the county but is now in isolation in Oregon.”

Not the best of stats not the worst…. https://www.dailymail.co.uk/health/article-9157893/Covid-UK-One-eight-recovered-Covid-patients-DIE-140-days.html

“One-in-eight ‘recovered’ Covid patients ‘DIE within 140 days’: Study finds devastating toll on people who were hospitalised – with a THIRD readmitted within weeks

A third of recovered Covid patients are readmitted to hospital within five months

Leicester University found one-in-eight of the Covid patients then died

The long-term effects of Covid can cause many to develop heart problems”

With variant forms and awful statistics from the vaccine front to recovery front we really should be focus on the core message which is to become healthier. As noted Vaccine is not helping reduce transmission – nor will getting healthy but the objective to reduce impact of covid is the right thing to do. https://theecologist.org/2020/dec/08/go-vegan-slash-covid-19-risk

“People with obesity, high blood pressure, diabetes and heart disease were far more likely to need intensive care and require a ventilator.

Vegans tend to have a lower risk of all these conditions and a varied, vegan diet can help both prevent and reverse them. All these diseases carry serious health risks and Covid-19 has added another layer.

Of course, going vegan won’t prevent you from catching Covid-19 so you still need to observe all the normal precautions. What it may do, though, is lower your risk of suffering complications or severe symptoms – it could even save your life. If enough people do it, going vegan could also lower the risk of future pandemics. ”

“A study published in the journal Obesity Reviews revealed that people living with obesity who get Covid-19, are more than twice as likely to be admitted to hospital than people of a healthy weight.

This group was almost three-quarters more likely to need intensive care and 48 percent more likely to die. People with diabetes also have a higher risk of dying in hospital with Covid-19 compared to those without diabetes.

Covid-19 can cause acute breathing difficulties in some people, which puts extra pressure on the heart, so for people with high blood pressure or heart disease, it can be extremely serious.

Research suggests that having high blood pressure doubles the risk of severe Covid-19 while heart disease is even worse and may increase the risk by as much as five-fold.

The good news is, a healthy vegan diet can help prevent and reverse all these conditions and not only will you benefit from improving your general health, you can lower your risk of severe Covid-19. “

“Research shows that vegans tend to weigh less than vegetarians and meat-eaters and experts agree that a vegan diet can help you lose weight and maintain a healthy weight without having to worry about portion size.

Vegans have a lower risk of type 2 diabetes, the type associated with diet and lifestyle. A 2019 Harvard study of more than 300,000 people revealed that eating a vegan diet could cut the risk of developing type 2 diabetes by almost a quarter. In the same year, a study of 12,000 people found that those who ate mostly plant-based foods were 32 percent less likely to die from heart disease.

“Writing in an open letter with Viva!, 15 top doctors have advised that going vegan is the quickest and cheapest way of fighting obesity, type 2 diabetes and heart disease – major risk factors for Covid-19.

The letter was signed by clinicians including Emanuel Goldman, a world-renowned professor of microbiology and consultant haematologist, Dr Shireen Kassam, nursing expert Baroness Watkins of Tavistock and Professor Richard Kock, emerging diseases specialist at the Royal Veterinary College at the, University of London.

Going vegan could not only lower your risk of severe Covid-19, if enough of us do it, it could lower the risk of future pandemics.

It’s likely that Covid-19 came from a wet market in China where poultry, civets, snakes, pangolins, bats, beavers, foxes, dogs and other animals, many captured illegally in the wild, were caged for sale.

The dreadful, cramped conditions and mix of wild and domestic creatures, alongside throngs of people is a pandemic in the making.”

“As industrialised farming has spread around with world, diseases have followed. Densely packed sheds containing stressed animals, confined in filthy surroundings and being bred for fast growth has lowered their immunity.

It’s an ideal environment for a mutating virus or antibiotic-resistant superbugs to emerge. It’s no surprise, therefore, that three in four new or emerging infectious disease come from animals.

Many scientists thought the next pandemic would be caused by an avian influenza (bird flu) virus emerging from a poultry or pig farm.

The 2009 H1N1 swine flu pandemic came from pigs in Mexico. Several strains of bird flu have infected humans – H5N1, H5N6 and H7N9 – and here will be more to come.”

“Viva!’s founder and director, Juliet Gellatley, says: “We must have a societal shift in the way we view animals, the environment and our diets. We must stop eating animals.

"It is time to finally make the connection between animal agriculture and environmental destruction, antibiotic resistance and disease outbreak. We must stop tearing down forests to make way for animal farming or to grow animal feed.

"We must protect ecosystems and prioritise the safety and freedom of wild animals, leaving them to live their lives away from human contact. If we don’t take urgent and far-reaching action now, eating animals will be the death of us”.”

A good Sunday report – US at 1749 no other country above 1K death

Looks like potential global peak of confirmation is passed us. Death should start coming off.

CA continues to lead the US

LA county still the US county leader by far

Confirmation still very south focused for the US – which is interesting given the temps

Looks very promising for LA to say they have past their peak in confirmation and deaths