Covid19mathblog.com
This is not a good reporting day from a stats perspective and news. So if you want to keep your day happy read this later….
A new variant found in S. Africa – which has mutated the spike protein. This makes antibody treatments previously developed less effective. https://www.cnbc.com/2021/01/06/south-africa-covid-strain-a-guide-to-what-you-need-to-know.html
“South Africa named the variant “501Y.V2” because of the N501Y mutation they found in the spike protein that the virus uses to gain entry into cells within the body. This mutation, among others, was also found in the new strain that the U.K. identified in December (but estimated to have been in circulation since September) with both regarded as increasing the transmissibility of the virus, making it spread more efficiently.
With authorities in the U.K. and South Africa alerting the World Health Organization to the new mutations in December, the WHO noted that while both variants found in the U.K. and South Africa shared the N501Y mutation, they are different.
The variant in South Africa carries two other mutations in the spike protein (E484K and K417N, among others) which are not present in the U.K. strain, named “VOC-202012/01,” with VOC standing for “Variant of Concern.” Experts said the mutations could affect how vaccines against Covid work.”
“On Tuesday, former U.S. FDA chief Dr. Scott Gottlieb warned that vaccinating Americans against Covid is more critical than ever, especially as the variant in South Africa appears to inhibit antibody drugs, and is spreading elsewhere.
“The South Africa variant is very concerning right now because it does appear that it may obviate some of our medical countermeasures, particularly the antibody drugs,” Gottlieb told CNBC’s “The News with Shepard Smith” on Tuesday.”
“The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention noted on Sunday that scientists are investigating the variants “to better understand how easily they might be transmitted and whether currently authorized vaccines will protect people against them.”
“Currently, there is no evidence that these variants cause more severe illness or increased risk of death. New information about the virologic, epidemiologic, and clinical characteristics of these variants is rapidly emerging,” it added.”
““Both vaccination against and natural infection with SARS-CoV-2 (the coronavirus) produce a ‘polyclonal’ response that targets several parts of the spike protein. The virus would likely need to accumulate multiple mutations in the spike protein to evade immunity induced by vaccines or by natural infection,” the CDC said Sunday in its brief on the emerging variants.”
Expect to see death after vaccine stories – lots of data/variables to understand – just like those articles claiming “healthy” people dying from covid – https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9111311/Portuguese-health-worker-41-dies-two-days-getting-Pfizer-covid-vaccine.html
“Sonia Acevedo suffered a ‘sudden death’ on New Year’s Day 48 hours after jab
The 41-year-old mother-of-two worked in paediatrics at a hospital in Porto
Ms Acevedo had not suffered any adverse side-effects after being vaccinated
An autopsy is expected to take place either today or tomorrow”
I listened to the podcast Odd Lots discussing the black death and its relationship to Covid – https://open.spotify.com/episode/1O9DirkbpjhLshsXjT2nuR?si=c7-Mops-QFe6Bw4kI_1tMQ This made me look into the black death stats and it shows the majority deaths <35 yrs old. Therefore it was much worse than what we have now. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3094018/#:~:text=Despite%20the%20limitations%20of%20the,ages%20of%20ten%20and%20fifteen
Compared to Covid deaths are 60+ now. So this time the labor shortage is not likely going to be see as noted in the black death.
As noted not a good stats day – US deaths top 3775 – Brazil, Mexico, Germany all above 1K
CA leading the way for US
Once again it is LA CA that is leading all US counties – by a long shot.
Clearly focused in the southwest region of US
On a positive note for LA some signs of peaking being observed.