Covid19mathblog.com
Lots of good news today
Pfizer vaccine don’t need to be stored so cold – https://www.foxbusiness.com/politics/pfizer-says-its-covid-vaccine-doesnt-need-to-be-stored-at-ultra-freezing-temps-anymore
“The makers of the shots, including the German biotechnology firm BioNTech, have discovered the doses can remain at between 5 and -13 degrees Fahrenheit without spoiling — instead of -94 degrees like previously thought, according to the Financial Times.”
Update now shows 99% effective – https://www.jpost.com/breaking-news/coronavirus-vaccine-99-percent-effective-in-preventing-serious-disease-death-659613
“The Pfizer coronavirus vaccine has proven to be about 99% effective in preventing hospitalization, serious disease and death for those who are past two weeks from the second dose, new data released by the Health Ministry on Saturday night showed.
The protocol to administer the Pfizer vaccine involves two injections three weeks apart.
Israel started to administer the vaccine on December 19. The report included the figures collected by the ministry up to February 13.
The news came just as Israel was preparing to send 1.1 million children back to their classrooms – 500,000 more than attended last week – and open up gyms, hotel rooms, malls and street shops.”
Optimistic forecast – April – I am still optimistic for May – but for clarification what this means is not that it wont come back in the fall its just that the numbers will be very low at this point and it will seem to be erradicated. https://www.dailymail.co.uk/health/article-9279773/amp/Johns-Hopkins-doctor-claims-reach-herd-immunity-April.html?__twitter_impression=true
“Dr Marty Makary made the bold claim that the US will be effectively free of COVID-19 by spring
He estimates that by then prior infection and vaccinations would will bring the US to herd immunity
Dr Makary noted that daily US infections have fallen more than 70% in 6 weeks
He compared the decline of illnesses to a ‘miracle drug’ and said public health officials are ‘hiding’ the promising signs that the pandemic is ending”
For those shocked by how much obesity is killing people – yesterday note – there is hope – https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/07315724.2020.1869625
This study shows for weight loss the vegan diet is better than the touted Mediterranean diet. Multifaceted bonus – reduce animal cruelty, reduce CO2, reduce obesity.
“Conclusions: A low-fat vegan diet improved body weight, lipid concentrations, and insulin sensitivity, both from baseline and compared with a Mediterranean diet. Blood pressure decreased on both diets, more on the Mediterranean diet.”
Below 2K for the US.
NY leading confirmation. CA leading death
LA leading all counties still
NYC re-opening without innovative guidelines such as CO2 readings perhaps doesn’t lead to any different results.
LA coming back to earth
