Covid19mathblog.com
Another endemic article – with a pro pharma stance – https://www.cnbc.com/2021/02/27/what-if-covid-becomes-endemic.html
“In a February survey of more than 100 immunologists, infectious-disease researchers and virologists, almost 90% said that SARS-Cov-2, the virus that causes Covid, will become endemic.
That means that there’s a “constant presence and/or usual prevalence of a disease or infectious agent in a population within a geographic area,” according to the Centers for Disease Control. Influenza, for example, is an endemic respiratory illness in the U.S., and there are four other endemic types of coronaviruses that cause the common cold.
Erica Ollmann Saphire, professor at the La Jolla Institute for Immunology, says she thinks Covid will be “a permanent part of the human existence.””
“As people continue to get vaccinated, “infection levels are going to come down dramatically over the course of the spring and summer,” Dr. Scott Gottlieb, former Food and Drug Administration commissioner, told CNBC’s “Squawk Box” Thursday.”
“In a recent study that modeled what living with Covid could be like based on other coronaviruses, researchers wrote: ”[O]nce the endemic phase is reached and primary exposure is in childhood, SARS-CoV-2 may be no more virulent than the common cold.””
“It’s possible that annual single-dose coronavirus booster shots will become the norm, just like you get an annual flu shot. If the virus mutates, vaccines will need to be updated to handle variants.”
$$$$ for the pharma!
Alternative message is to say lets get healthy as a society – sitting the new smoking – https://www.fitandwell.com/news/this-is-how-much-you-have-to-exercise-each-week-to-undo-the-damage-of-sitting
“A study from the British Medical Journal sought to try and answer this question. Using The World Health Organisation’s guidelines on exercise, which states "the health harms associated with prolonged sitting can be offset by exceeding weekly recommended physical activity levels", researchers looked at more than 44,000 people wearing activity trackers from four countries to try and identify how much movement is required to undo the damage of sitting. They found "30 to 40 daily minutes of moderate to vigorous intensity physical activity substantially weakens" the heightened risk of death associated with it, bringing it down to levels associated with very low amounts of sedentary time. This includes regular physical activity, not just structured exercise.”
US back under 2K – but its Sunday
NY leads confirmation – and for a first VA leads death at 185!
NY opening without any guidelines likely didn’t modify any ventilation systems
LA county leads all county. Even though VA leads death it was all dispersed through state so likely another revision to data method.
LA deaths are suspicious now given fatality rate of the latest deaths are showing 6% fatality rate.
