Covid19mathblog.com

Some scary outcomes for covid for kids – striking at 1/5000 – paediatric inflammatory multi-system syndrome (PIMS) – https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/feb/05/up-to-100-uk-children-a-week-hospitalised-with-rare-post-covid-disease

“It often involves rashes, a temperature of up to 40C, dangerously low blood pressure and abdominal problems, and in serious cases its symptoms are like those of toxic shock or the potentially fatal condition sepsis. Two children are thought to have died of PIMS since the pandemic began.”

“Between 12 and 15 children every day are believed to have fallen ill since the start of January. Cases have emerged in many places, but most have been in London and south-east England, areas where the new Kent variant of the coronavirus has driven a sharp rise in infections”

“Part of a presentation she made to a recent webinar attended by more than 1,000 paediatricians showed that, in a “first national report” into 78 patients with PIMS who ended up in intensive care, 47% were of Afro-Caribbean origin and 28% of Asian background – between five and six times higher than the 14% of the UK’s population who are BAME.”

“Lyall’s dataset, based on figures from 21 of the 23 paediatric intensive care units (PICUs), also disclosed that 78% of patients had no underlying illnesses and until PIMS had been in good health, which paediatricians said was “very worrying”; the average age of children getting PIMS is 11, but ranges from eight to 14; two-thirds (67%) were boys; only 22% had Covid when their PIMS emerged, while the others had already had it; and almost one in four of those who end up in a PICU develop a heart condition called coronary artery dilation, which is potentially fatal.”

““PIMS can be very serious. But we have seen fewer seriously unwell children [in the second wave] because there is earlier recognition and earlier treatment,” she said.

“It remains rare, and we don’t think parents should worry, as it is far more likely not to affect their child than to affect them. The numbers are low and [PIMS] would not be a reason to keep schools from opening. The median age [of onset] is nine years. We would not close playgrounds.””

Vaccine side effect – Covid Arm – https://www.cbs8.com/article/news/health/coronavirus/vaccine/covid-arm-vaccine-side-effect/509-fdf47498-ab0c-4c0b-abc7-2ddf5b0a38cd

““It was almost exactly eight days after my vaccine, so all of a sudden it showed up and I was like, wow, my arm’s really burning," said Kara Leeper, a speech therapist living in Los Angeles. More than a week after she was vaccinated, she noticed a red rash on her arm where the needle went in. "When I looked at it, it was just a big red bull’s eye rash and it itched and hurt and was warm to the touch,” she said.

Though she said the rash on her arm only lasted about 48 hours, she still wondered what could of caused it.

“So it’s either a immune reaction, but delayed, So it’s your immune system revving up. Or it’s just reacting to one of the components in the vaccine," said Dr. Mark Shalauta who is the Co-chair of the vaccine committee in Rancho Bernardo after seeing the photos. "But it’s not really an allergy, so it’s not dangerous and absolutely OK to get the next one.”

He says that the vaccine is still safe and effective and there is easy ways to cope with pain or discomfort that the shot may cause like a cold compress or an antihistamine. But keep an eye on it so that it doesn’t get worse.”

The data seems to point to our lifestyle and what we eat is a strong predictor of how we cope and conquer covid. Whole food and lower meat content diet certainly seems to be the direction. A new report out by the Chatham House highlights the issue with our food system we have cultured – and noted the concern in terms of zoonotic diseases e.g. Covid-19 But there are many positive outcomes when lifestyle/diet is changed as highlighted – https://www.chathamhouse.org/sites/default/files/2021-02/2021-02-03-food-system-biodiversity-loss-benton-et-al_0.pdf

“Our food system has been shaped over past decades by the ‘cheaper food’ paradigm.

Policies and economic structures have aimed to produce ever more food at ever

lower cost Intensified agricultural production degrades soils and ecosystems,

driving down the productive capacity of land and necessitating even more intensive

food production to keep pace with demand. Growing global consumption

of cheaper calories and resource-intensive foods aggravates these pressures.

— Current food production depends heavily on the use of inputs such as fertilizer,

pesticides, energy, land and water, and on unsustainable practices such as

monocropping and heavy tilling. This has reduced the variety of landscapes

and habitats, threatening or destroying the breeding, feeding and/or nesting

of birds, mammals, insects and microbial organisms, and crowding out many

native plant species.

— As a major contributor to global greenhouse gas emissions, our food system is

also driving climate change, which further degrades habitats and causes species

to disperse to new locations. In turn, this brings new species into contact and

competition with each other, and creates new opportunities for the emergence

of infectious disease.”

“The impacts of animal farming, and of removing and fragmenting natural habitats,

are not limited to biodiversity loss – the wider risks to human health have been

brought into sharp focus by the COVID-19 pandemic. COVID-19 is a ‘zoonotic’

disease, meaning that it originated in non-human animals and passed over to

humans. It is the latest in a series of emerging infectious diseases (EIDs) to have

reached epidemic or pandemic levels over recent decades; the majority of these

EIDs have come from wild or farmed animals”

Big time catch up US deaths soar to over 5K

1506 from Indiana! – The time series in the dataset will be all messed up again as 1506 deaths didn’t all just happened – https://www.wishtv.com/news/coronavirus/indiana-audit-finds-1500-additional-covid-19-deaths/

“More than 1,500 coronavirus deaths will be added to the Indiana State Department of Health’s dashboard on Thursday.

The announcement was made Wednesday during Gov. Eric Holcomb’s weekly virtual briefing. An audit of COVID-19 deaths, done in a push for more accuracy by the state, found the added fatalities.

The state health department on Wednesday reported the statewide death toll stands at more than 9,700. The number of new positive cases Wednesday came in at nearly 1,500, and the number of people hospitalized with the virus is 1,582.”

Dispersion of death all over Indiana

LA county still the lead

LA still up there but coming down in confirmation – but not deaths