Covid19mathblog.com

Mutant variants inevitable in places with significant confirmation e.g. India & Brazil – This is a world issue – a country/state cannot be left to their own devices as the virus spreads https://metro.co.uk/2021/04/16/first-cases-of-double-mutant-covid-from-india-found-in-uk-14418472/

J&J responds confirming the ridiculous low numbers which is causing the suspension of its vaccine – https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMc2106075?query=featured_home

“On April 13, 2021, in an abundance of caution, the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) recommended a pause in vaccination with Ad26.COV2.S in the United States to allow further study of the situation and to provide physicians guidance on the diagnosis, treatment, and reporting of CVST in combination with low platelets.2 These cases were reported among more than 7.2 million persons who had been vaccinated with Ad26.COV2.S globally as of April 14, 2021.3 Thus, the reporting rate is less than 1 in 1,000,000 vaccinations, though it is possible that the cases are underreported.

At this time, evidence is insufficient to establish a causal relationship between these events and the Ad26.COV2.S vaccine. CVST is a very rare health condition,4 and thus far, events reported in recipients of the Ad26.COV2.S vaccine are occurring within the range of published background incidence (0.2 to 1.57 per 100,000 person-years).4,5 It is important to note that the incidence of CVST associated with low platelets is unknown and is considered by the FDA and the CDC to be extremely low.2”

Scary statements claiming the reduction of covid per lockdown. Note I had always forecasted that May we would see it come to a near end – but based purely on seasonality of common cold and flu. Likely comes back in fall – but the numbers will likely be low by May this is more to do with weather and human behavior than lockdown. https://www.rt.com/op-ed/521179-boris-lauding-lockdowns-another-october/amp/?__twitter_impression=true

““People don’t, I think, appreciate that it’s the lockdown that has been overwhelmingly important in delivering this improvement in the pandemic and in the figures that we’re seeing. And so, yes of course the vaccination programme has helped, but the bulk of the work in reducing the disease has been done by the lockdown.” Boris Johnson”

Brazil and India top the charts

Pics speak for themselves

MI and CA lead the US

County wise Wayne and LA the typical counties…today Harris leads in death but at small numbers relatively speaking.

On a timeline view we see WayneMI and Cook IL are increasing – both have still relatively low avg temps