Covid 6/10/21

Covid19mathblog.com

Good news on vaccine front for J&J – https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-021-03681-2.epdf

“The Ad26.COV2.S vaccine1–3 has demonstrated clinical efficacy against symptomatic COVID-19, including against the B.1.351 variant that is partially resistant to neutralizing antibodies”

“In the phase 3 ENSEMBLE trial, a single dose of 5×1010 viral particles (vp) Ad26.COV2.S resulted in 72%, 68%, and 64% protection against moderate to severe COVID-19 and 86%, 88%, and 82% protection against severe/critical COVID-19 in the United States, Brazil, and South Africa, respectively, by day 28 following vaccination1.”

However the new delta variant (India) is worrisome – at least from our trusted institutions – https://www.health.com/condition/infectious-diseases/coronavirus/delta-variant-covid-19

“Anthony Fauci, MD, director of the US National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, said during a briefing of the White House COVID-19 response team that, while Delta makes up about 6% of COVID-19 cases in the US, it has potential to spread more rapidly. "We cannot let that happen in the United States," he said, pointing to the UK, where the variant has caused a resurgence in cases, as a "powerful argument" for more vaccination.”

In the UK, Dr. Fauci said, the Delta variant has become the dominant strain, replacing B.1.1.7 (now called the Alpha strain). It’s also driving new cases in people ages 12 to 20.

“Eric Topol, MD, founder of the Scripps Research Translational Institute, said on Twitter that the Delta variant is "the worst we’ve seen so far."”

“Experts are also concerned because "the variant has the potential to at least partially evade the protection of the vaccine," William Schaffner, MD, an infectious disease specialist and professor at the Vanderbilt University School of Medicine, tells Health. He compares Delta to B.1.351 (now called Beta), which was originally detected in South Africa. "There is a chance that this can make you sick, even if you’re been vaccinated," Dr. Schaffner says.”

“Delta is also potentially problematic because "it’s clear that young people are at risk," including those who aren’t yet eligible for the COVID-19 vaccine, Dr. Weiss says”

Just in time for the Delta variant – kids vaccine coming – coincidence? – https://www.dailymail.co.uk/health/article-9664191/amp/Pfizer-begins-testing-Covid-vaccine-children-ages-5-11.html?__twitter_impression=true

“Pfizer begins testing its Covid vaccine in children aged 5-11 as Moderna CEO says his company’s shot for kids will be available by the early fall”

Now way – society would act before knowing the facts? – https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-06-08/fortunes-spent-on-plastic-shields-with-no-proof-they-stop-covid?utm_source=twitter&utm_content=business&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=socialflow-organic&cmpid=socialflow-twitter-business&sref=qS0Eg2QL

“Sales of plexiglass tripled to roughly $750 million in the U.S. after the pandemic hit, as offices, schools, restaurants and retail stores sought protection from the droplets that health authorities suspected were spreading the coronavirus…..Not a single study has shown that the clear plastic barriers actually control the virus, said Joseph Allen of the Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health”

India is not on top of deaths – back to Brazil

India heading back down – still lots left for confirmation if near other country levels

US states – Huge confirmation spike in TX

But looks to be a bunch of border town counties

Also can see in the county hot spot charts below