Covid19mathblog.com

Study galore this week –

Testing results from PCR test misleading proven by the following study – as much of the positives did not mean infectious! – as discussed multiple times on this blog – the CT (cycle thresholds) were too high and no standards and huge incentive to do high CT as increased testing – increase revenue – just detecting fragments vs infectious . CT should be supplied to the patient and national database when doing test. https://www.journalofinfection.com/article/S0163-4453(21)00265-6/fulltext

“In light of our findings that more than half of individuals with positive PCR test results are unlikely to have been infectious, RT-PCR test positivity should not be taken as an accurate measure of infectious SARS-CoV-2 incidence. Our results confirm the findings of others that the routine use of “positive” RT-PCR test results as the gold standard for assessing and controlling infectiousness fails to reflect the fact “that 50-75% of the time an individual is PCR positive, they are likely to be post-infectious” [7].

Asymptomatic individuals with positive RT-PCR test results have higher Ct values and a lower probability of being infectious than symptomatic individuals with positive results. Although Ct values have been shown to be inversely associated with viral load and infectivity, there is no international standardization across laboratories, rendering problematic the interpretation of RT-PCR tests when used as a tool for mass screening.”

Get ready for the fall “cold/flu” season -as noted forecasted May the “end” of covid but largely as a function of the seasonality of cold/flu not vaccination! Vaccination of course helped but I still think the prime driver is the physics of a coronavirus which has a lipid shell which hardens in the cold – and cant harden with humidity – but in the summer it dries out and causes the virus to have a very short “shelf” life – hence we have cold/flu seasons! Yale study shows heat,humidity, UV rays linked to Covid-19 – https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-021-23866-7

“Our findings indicate that cold and dry weather and low levels of UV radiation are moderately associated with increased SARS-CoV-2 transmissibility in the U.S., with absolute humidity (i.e., SH) playing the greatest role. More extensive public health interventions are needed to mitigate the increased transmissibility of SARS-CoV-2 in winter months.”

The effectiveness of vaccination is also clouded by the fact an immune system that has dealt with colds/flu likely already have protection against covid as noted in the following study https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33720905/

“We conclude that most adults display preexisting antibody cross-reactivity against SARS-CoV-2, which further supports investigation of how this may impact the clinical severity of COVID-19 or SARS-CoV-2 vaccine responses.”

Harvard data showing how lockdowns were very regressive. Save the wealthy and large corporations (presumably to big to fail?) Do whatever it takes to save us from covid regardless of the harm from other issues – was that the mentality at the top? – https://tracktherecovery.org/

Then we have the banned word Ivermectin. Matt Taibbi talks about the banned alluding to politics perhaps but the real issue I feel – IF there is a therapeutic way to treat Covid all the emergency use vaccine cannot be used! There is unfortunately a system financially incentive designed to be against a therapeutic option IF you want to promote vaccination – https://taibbi.substack.com/p/why-has-ivermectin-become-a-dirty

“One of the challenges of the pandemic period is the degree to which science has become intertwined with politics. Arguments about the efficacy of mask use or ventilators, or the viability of repurposed drugs like hydroxychloroquine or ivermectin, or even the pandemic’s origins, were quashed from the jump in the American commercial press, which committed itself to a regime of simplified insta-takes made opposite to Donald Trump’s comments. With a few exceptions, Internet censors generally tracked with this conventional wisdom, which had the effect of moving conspiracy theories and real scientific debates alike far underground.”

Brazil back on top as India has dropped down

Hopefully Brazil reaches out to India and figure out what they did to bring the curve down so quickly

FL major confirmation revision -3.2K….FL leads death at 290

No major hotspots in the US