Covid19mathblog.com
“Ends justify the means?”
It looks like the media and the powers at be want to promote the stat which is very effective IF it was true to their conclusions….It was discussed in the last blog Covid 10/14/21 | COVID 19 Information Page (covid19mathblog.com)
I will try to simplify the concern. Here is the CDC new data page and their new promotion – CDC COVID Data Tracker
They clearly state the following screenshot:
You can see the CDC change the message but the mass media has not caught on to it. Before they said:
Note the very key words they added – “Greater risk of TESTING positive”
I will not refute the death part – it’s the first part which is being used to push the concept that Unvaccinated people are causing transmission. From this dataset one CANNOT conclude that. The changed wording is correct but its too late. The act of going to take a test is not uniformed in society. As noted before the dataset is essentially confirmation data which is consistent with John Hopkins data we pull. Confirmations are not a statistical poll (testing a broad sample allowing extrapolation). It is people essentially believing they are sick and asking for a test and/or patients coming into hospital for procedure. If you are asymptomatic what are the odds you would get tested. What are the odds if you are vaccinated and you have the sniffles you will go get tested compared to being unvaccinated? The vaccine is making more people asymptomatic and/or mild symptoms – this is a fact. This will by the very nature lead to more confirmed cases being unvaccinated. What does that tell you – and how is it worth promoting this measure?
Anecdotally I know those who come into to do a procedure in the Texas medical system that are vaccinated are not tested but those that are unvaccinated are – there in itself is an issue IF testing is not being uniformed.
Why push this false narrative? Is the end so worth the mean? Losing trust and credibility? Lets just do a study to prove the risk/reward for young healthy individuals show significant benefit. Lets prove unvaccinated people are really transmitting – or admit that the premise was wrong and focus on a real solution to mitigate transmission – HVAC modification guidelines would be my choice.
The damage is done promoting a false narrative and they are doubling down on the stat by now pushing it. Here is the media just biting the bait –
Unvaccinated Adults 11 Times More Likely to Die from Covid-19: CDC – Rolling Stone
“The CDC also found that unvaccinated adults faced a six times as likely to contract the virus than fully vaccinated adults. The data marks the first time the CDC has released information about how Covid-19 risks can differ depending on vaccination status.”
First sentence NOT true – unvaccinated do not face 6X odds – perhaps 6 times more likely to be TESTED and CONFIRMED from those that go get a test! ZERO knowledge gained on whether being unvaccinated has resulted in less or more transmission.
CDC data: Unvaccinated 11 times more likely to die from COVID-19 than fully vaccinated | TheHill
“In addition, the data show that unvaccinated people have a six times higher chance of testing positive for COVID-19 than fully vaccinated people do.”
ITS not a higher chance of testing positive relative to society as they try to allude to – it’s a higher chance that an unvaccinated would go get tested within their testing pool – it says nothing about vaccinated chance of testing positive! In fact one could argue being unvaccinated could be better as they are more likely going to get tested and quarantine vs a vaccinated person. We need more testing IF you really want to go to zero – allowing vaccinated people to wandering around and spreading the disease is more deadly than an unvaccinated person showing symptoms right away and getting tested. This reminds me of the MTBE issue. MTBE a gasoline additive was banned largely because it is insoluble in water and people could taste it in their drinking water. So they banned it! – but what was the root of the problem? – the tanks are leaking – go fix that! Ignorance is bliss.
The best testing is done for professional sports teams – you can see being vaccinated is not reducing confirmations! – Kliff Kingsbury tests positive for COVID-19, will miss Cardinals game (usatoday.com)
You can also see it the county data as noted all the time! The math doesn’t add up if their stat could be extrapolated to society – we should see significant differences in county transmission data IF the data was really 5-6X…..think about it!
Also on the sports front some more sad data points – NBA Player Got Blood Clots From COVID Vaccine that Ends His Season – NBA Told Him to Keep It Quiet (VIDEO) (thegatewaypundit.com)