Covid19mathblog.com
Continuing our school mask analysis we have pulled in Ohio. Once again as noted last time (https://covid19mathblog.com/2022/01/covid-1-19-22/ ) – the conclusions does not mean mask won’t help individually for circumstances where student lives with a high risk adult etc… but there is something bigger that is more impactful than mask for society as a whole. There is a potential that mask mandates causes administration to ignore other more impactful solutions. Mask may also cause parents to send sick kids to school. Many questions but still the fact is the data shows school mask mandates are not a driving influence on county transmission.
Understanding what makes Holmes and Washington County in OH better than others is more important than enforcing mask mandates at this time. Holmes is noted to be very Amish – do they have more ventilated schools, less socializing? Could it be kids can go to school maskless if they just didn’t socialize outside of school? *Counties with multiple school districts with varying policy are ignored.
We will continue to add states as we can. It is a very manual process.
We continue to see excessive deaths though a bid improvement on last year. (star vs. triangle) – with base target the avg 2014-2019 levels seen in red.
A very important report once again supporting common sense conclusion that natural immunity would be superior over vaccine given the whole experience of the virus not just the spike protein. By concluding this one does not conclude that one should just go out and get covid – but it does at the very least point out that those who have had covid do not need continued vaccinations at least at the levels of those who never had natural immunity. This is part of the equation when one decides to get vaccinated – do you believe you already had covid? Can you test to confirm that you already had it? IF so then perhaps if you have zoster or heart conditions you may shift your risk/reward equation more from getting the vaccination. https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/71/wr/mm7104e1.htm?s_cid=mm7104e1_w
The tables at the bottom are the most informative – clearly showing those with previous diagnosis superior to vaccine. Clearly also indicates unvaccinated without previous diagnosis at risk. However given Omicron transmission rate we will all likely get it.
Conflict of interest? https://www.theepochtimes.com/scientists-who-were-instrumental-to-covid-19-natural-origins-narrative-received-over-50-million-in-niaid-funding-in-2020-2021_4220769.html
“Scientists Who Were Instrumental to COVID-19 ‘Natural Origins’ Narrative Received Over $50 Million in NIAID Funding in 2020-2021”
Noted this remedy before – but here is a reaffirmation – Benadryl and Lactoferrin – https://www.clarkcountytoday.com/news/scientist-surprised-by-discovery-of-99-effective-cheap-covid-treatment/ – study – https://www.mdpi.com/2076-0817/10/11/1514
“Ostrov, an immunologist and associate professor in the University of Florida College of Medicine’s department of pathology, immunology and laboratory medicine, combined diphenhydramine, which is marketed as Benadryl, and lactoferrin, a protein in milk, as WND reported in December.
“My prediction is that antiviral drug combinations, such as diphenhydramine and lactoferrin, will provide a similar level of benefit as Regeneron monoclonal antibodies, Pfizer and Merck antivirals, at less than 1/100 the cost of those therapies,” he told WND.
Ostrov said he knew he was facing an uphill battle in his effort to find a combination of cheap, safe and available drugs to combat COVID-19.”
“Conclusions: Sigma receptor ligands and
drugs with off-target sigma receptor binding characteristics were effective at inhibiting SARS-CoV-2
infection in primate and human cells, representing a potential therapeutic avenue for COVID-19
prevention and treatment.”
WHO has a few messages that don’t seem to follow the US message –
“WHO Chief Scientist Dr. Soumya Swaminathan said Tuesday “there’s no evidence right now” that suggests healthy children and adolescents need booster shots to supplement their Covid-19 vaccinations.”
India and France continues to surge – US leads the death category
India
France
California leading confirmation and NY deaths
CA confirmation beyond previous peaks
NY deaths only slightly below last year – yet so much more vaccinated!
Certainly spreading across the US regardless of vax
