Covid 8/18/20

This was a quick semester for back to school for UNC-Chapel Hill – https://www.npr.org/sections/coronavirus-live-updates/2020/08/16/903071127/less-than-a-week-after-starting-classes-unc-chapel-hill-reports-4-covid-19-clust

“The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill is shifting undergraduate instruction entirely online after 130 students tested positive for the coronavirus during its first week of classes.

Chancellor Kevin Guskiewicz and Provost Robert Blouin announced the reversal Monday, one week after classes started and two weeks after residence halls opened at limited capacity. They noted that less than 30% of "total classroom seats" were being taught in person.

Even with guidelines and precautions in place, case counts soared in a matter of days.

According to a campus dashboard, 130 students and five employees tested positive last week.

Officials wrote that between Aug. 10 and Aug. 16, the positivity rate on campus rose from 2.8% to 13.6%.

As of Monday morning, they said 177 students are in isolation, and 349 are in quarantine, and most have demonstrated only "mild symptoms."

"As much as we believe we have worked diligently to help create a healthy and safe campus living and learning environment, the current data presents an untenable situation," officials wrote.

Starting Wednesday, all undergraduate in-person instruction will be remote.””

“Barbara Rimer, dean of the Gillings School of Global Public Health at UNC, called for taking an "off-ramp" in a blog post Monday in which she wrote that "we have tried to make this work but it is not working."

Rimer said it seemed that students on campus were practicing social distancing and wearing masks, but "reports of off-campus behavior showed a different pattern."”

Wonder if the facilities were modified in terms of HVAC – for open air. Also how much was just young adult human behavior. Does not bode well for other schools unless they physically do something different.

Really tired of all the news of a super duper test – lets see then made and used! Seems like they should have this test ready to go given already testing the NBA teams https://news.yale.edu/2020/08/15/yales-rapid-covid-19-saliva-test-receives-fda-emergency-use-authorization

“A saliva-based laboratory diagnostic test developed by researchers at the Yale School of Public Health to determine whether someone is infected with the novel coronavirus has been granted an emergency use authorization by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA).”

Another day of low deaths for the US (445). India leads at 876

FL leads the US in deaths at 87

Miami-Dade FL lead the counties at 24

On a global view we are approaching 800K deaths and over 22Million confirmed cases. IF you get covid on global basis your chances of death is currently 3.6%. This statistics varies widely depending on where your are in the world. The current 7 day moving average fatality rate is 2.6% – hopefully as a result of better treatment protocols.