Covid19mathblog.com
It is still 2020 – looks like a potential mutation that infected 12 jumped from minks to people! – https://bgr.com/2020/11/06/coronavirus-mutation-denmark-mink-pandemic-potential/?bgr-partner=flipboard
“The government of Denmark shocked the world a few days ago when it announced it would slaughter as many as 17 million minks in the country, effectively destroying the entire mink fur industry in the country. The officials opted for this radical option because of the novel coronavirus, as the pathogen developed a potentially dangerous mutation inside the captive mink population. Reports from the country said that the mutated coronavirus has already infected at least 12 people. Researchers are worried that the new strain might be so dangerous that it could effectively render the current COVID-19 vaccine candidates useless.”
“Researchers have not fully detailed the mutation, and more data is needed. However, a Dutch virologist has offered a few details about the mink coronavirus. “It seems the mink-variant mutation is found in the spike protein of the Sars-Cov-2 virus, but we don’t really know,” Wim van der Poel told the paper. “And we don’t know what kind of vaccine we are going to have. So a lot more research is needed.”
“The Dutch government was among the first to order mink cullings earlier this year when it became clear that the animals can be infected with the pathogen and transmit it to humans.
Researchers have no idea whether the mutated coronavirus is able to spread well to humans, but the 12 infected people in Denmark prove there’s reason to worry. University of Reading virologist Ian Jones explained to The Guardian that the virus would have to adapt inside animals to enter cells. As a result, it will “modify the spike protein to enable this to happen efficiently.”
He continued, “The danger is that the mutated virus could then spread back into man and evade any vaccine response which would have been designed to the original, non-mutated version of the spike protein, and not the mink-adapted version.”
Finland experts think Denmark’s decision to kill all the mink population in farms is too extreme. Instead, they advise control measures that are already working in the country. The 150 mink farms in Finnland are all believed to be COVID-19 free.””
The nasal spray discussed yesterday seems to be the best option since it was focused on the blocking the connection – therefore will work for these mutations. Operation warp speed on the nasal spray!
Okay so the next big purchase IF you and your family are socialites or just anyone person in the household cant be a hermit – then you need to get Energy Recovery Ventilator (EVR) places on your HVAC. They even sell these on amazon. This will enable your existing HVAC to bring in fresh air – probably looking around 2K installed and all. Government should probably offer rebates or such if they are serious about slowing the spread in the hot spot areas. https://www.cleveland.com/metro/2020/11/during-1918-pandemic-people-opened-windows-now-hvac-experts-suggest-adding-filters-purifiers-instead.html
The solution to pollution is dilution!
If you have been following our county watch – El Paso was out there – something was wrong for sure – and it was – reporting issues! – https://kfoxtv.com/news/coronavirus/el-paso-city-officials-to-provide-update-on-efforts-to-address-spread-of-covid-19
“El Paso Health Director Angela Mora addressed the all-time high coronavirus case count of 3,100, due to data being entered automatically.
Up until Sunday, data provided from the state had been entered manually.
"To increase our efficiencies we are turning to automatic upload for the reports that come from the state which usually are a very large number of cases," said Mora.”
“The health director went on to clarify that the number of cases for Tuesday were inaccurate. Portions of Tuesday’s total should have been applied to Sunday and Monday.”
However the 7 day Moving Average is still off the chart….Even more alarming is the blame source – wonder if there is proof to back the blame?
“The virus is spreading at gatherings of friends and families and at large retail stores, Margo said.
“It’s coming from shopping, primarily the large big box retailers," Margo said.
Margo said his office reached out to large retailers like Walmart and Target and asking them to be proactive.”
“Recently, Walmart has announced some of its stores in El Paso were temporarily closed to deep clean.”
Another article notes based on contact tracing https://www.ktsm.com/news/big-box-stores-top-source-of-covid-19-spread-in-el-paso-officials-say/
““Shopping in El Paso, given our culture and our nature, is a family event. We have stressed and said please. Don’t take your family to go shopping if you can do it with one person,” Mayor Dee Margo said during a news conference on Thursday.
Margo said contact tracing data has been continuing to show big box stores as the leading source of where the virus has been infecting community members. “The main retailers — the Walmart, Target, Home Depot, Lowes — and all those fall under federal guidelines. As determined by Homeland Security, we have no legal oversight control over any limitations to those stores.””
They should measure the fresh air circulations at these stores – they are controllable. Also of note they did not open schools – but as noted they cant stop these family gatherings – school is not likely the super spreader compared to family gatherings – also I am still suspect on the blame on big box store without evaluating the HVAC system.
Search for what is going on in Cook IL did not lead to much other than this article which shows they have closed down things that don’t matter as much – because if it did they would not be leading the country in confirmation – https://www.wbez.org/stories/illinois-releases-data-on-contact-tracing-and-where-people-may-have-been-exposed-to-covid-19/c6585458-050e-4e3b-a658-8203b563974e
“This comes as Pritzker had been hammered for months for his decision to shut down bars and restaurants, saying they’ve been a key source of the spread of the virus, but state officials had not provided substantial data to back up those claims.
Statewide, the data show an “other” category — which it says includes locations such as warehouses, funerals and hair salons — leads in possible exposure, with more than 4,179 cases. Next comes restaurants and bars, with nearly 3,900 cases, or nearly 11% of all cases reported in the document.”
“The reporting shows that 52 outbreaks were tied to factories or manufacturing since July 1, the biggest number of any industry or location. Next came community events, followed by church, temple and religious services.
But in the past 30 days, outbreaks were led by church, temple and religious services, followed by community events, group homes and schools.”
What is so sad both El Paso and Cook articles never talked about ventilation….I am sure there is a big difference in ventilation which is MORE important than the type of building. I am certain a school or a store can be a better place to be in IF they upgraded their HVAC for more fresh air than any type of building.
US above 1K at 1146
TX leading death – IL leading confirmation
Cook IL lead all counties in the US in both categories
Cook county is out there now …..Something is wrong
Alarming thing for Cook deaths are now surging so its not just accounting issue in Cook – their current confirmation per day has peaked above LA peak of 3200 – its not looking good at all for Cook IL
Something is not right – how can Russia, Asian, African Countries be so much better off than US, Europe, and Central/South American Countries – there has to be something going on….the only real directional metric is BMI – its time to get healthy that’s got to be it! We can quarantine we can hide in a hole – covid seems to be speeding up the death of the unhealthy as we examine these large aggregations – of course there will be exceptions – but the central message for these large variances comes back to health and our food system and personal choices….Null is holding every other category.
