Covid 12/29/20

Covid19mathblog.com

As noted very early – melatonin was recommended as daily take along with Vitamin D C and Zinc – https://journals.plos.org/plosbiology/article?id=10.1371/journal.pbio.3000970#sec012

“We found that melatonin usage was associated with a 28% reduced likelihood of a positive laboratory test result for SARS-CoV-2 (odds ratio [OR] = 0.72, 95% CI 0.56–0.91; Fig 8A) after adjusting for age, sex, race, smoking history, and various disease comorbidities (diabetes, hypertension, coronary artery disease, and COPD) using a propensity score (PS) matching method. Angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (ACEIs) and ARBs are 2 common types of drugs for treatment of hypertension”

“We found that among individuals who received testing for SARS-CoV-2, melatonin usage was associated with a 28% and 52% reduced likelihood of a positive laboratory test result for SARS-CoV-2 in the all combined population and black Americans”

Not the best news for vaccine – but it was inevitable – there will be people where the probability of harm outweighs the probability issue from covid https://www.israelnationalnews.com/News/News.aspx/293865

“A 75 year old man from Beit Shean died Monday morning from cardiac arrest, about 2 hours after receiving the Pfizer Covid-19 vaccine.

The man received the vaccine at 8:30 in the morning, and waited for the customary time at the health clinic before he was released to his home feeling well.

Some time later, the man lost consciousness and was later confirmed dead from heart failure.”

“The Health Ministry said, "A 75-year-old man from the north of the country suffering from active heart disease and malignant disease, who has undergone a number of heart attacks, was vaccinated this morning against the coronavirus and died at home shortly after the procedure."”

US deaths under 2K – weather will be improved over the US over the next few weeks which will hopefully help keep the numbers low.

CA leads confirmation and deaths tied with NY

Deaths are very dispersed in NY compared to CA

LA county is still the hotspot for both deaths and confirmations.

Lets hope LA has reached their peak – data is now showing perhaps peak has been set.

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