Covid 2/3/21

Covid19mathblog.com

The argument to vaccine the younger (<65) – it would have to be to reduce transmission. Based on this report the most transmission from age 20-49- – wonder why this report also doesn’t make its way to school teacher unions not wanting to teach in person – under 19 less than 6.1% of all transmission – yet this report states school reopening increased total infections by 26% but if we just talk HS and below how is that? Very agenda driven “news” report – https://www.axios.com/young-adults-coronavirus-spread-a998cf65-fcf3-472b-a1ed-e29938356351.html

“In October, after a large portion of U.S. students returned to school, this age group was still responsible for about 72% of new infections.

The study estimates that school reopenings increased total infections by about 26% as of October, and deaths by about 6% — because children and teenagers spread the virus to adults, who are "more transmission efficient."”

“The bottom line: "This suggests that additional interventions to adults aged 20-49, including rapid mass vaccination if vaccines prove to block transmission, could bring resurgent COVID-19 epidemics under control," the authors conclude.”

Well it looks like one could delay the second shot for 12 weeks? I am still not sure why one would want to do that given first shot is only around 50% – https://apnews.com/article/health-coronavirus-pandemic-53c40e579c3209a77ffc6ca798aff1a7

“Britain’s health chief has hailed a new study suggesting that a single dose of the Oxford-AstraZeneca COVID-19 vaccine provides a high level of protection for 12 weeks, saying it supports the government’s contentious strategy of delaying the second shot so it can protect more people quickly with a first dose.

Britain’s decision has been criticized as risky by other European countries, but Health Secretary Matt Hancock said Wednesday that the study “backs the strategy that we’ve taken and it shows the world that the Oxford vaccine works effectively.”

Hancock’s comments came after Oxford University released a study showing the vaccine cut transmission of the virus by two-thirds and prevented severe disease.”

“Pfizer recommends that its shots be given 21 days apart and has not endorsed the U.K. government’s decision to lengthen the time between doses.”

Another collateral damage from our response to covid – Death linked to alcohol increased 16% – funny to think they cant see the cause of this – hmmm out of job/business shut down/savings dwindling/ not seeing friends and relatives – drinking/drugs are done as one is not happy with their current present moment – https://www.businessinsider.com/deaths-from-alcohol-spiked-during-covid-19-lockdown-2021-2

“Deaths linked to alcohol misuse in 2020 were up 16%, per stats from England and Wales.

The causes are uncertain, but it could be related to the stress caused by the pandemic.

More services are needed to support those with alcohol dependence, said one expert.”

“A survey of 83 countries published in the journal BMJ Open found that 36% of people increased their alcohol intake while taking measures to avoid COVID-19.”

“She also noted that people with an alcohol-use disorder may not be receiving the right medical case, either through reluctance to visit a hospital during the pandemic, or because those services were reduced.

More delayed consequences of alcohol abuse, such as cancer, could also occur increase in the future, she noted.

Professor Julia Sinclair, Chair of the Addictions Faculty at the UK’s Royal College of Psychiatrists, told the Science Media Center that the high-rate of alcohol-related deaths is "as tragic as it is avoidable."

She argued that the UK National health Service should be better equipped to deal with the rise in people drinking at a dangerous levels.”

Not a good trend for vaccination in the US

US Over 3K Deaths

TX leads confirmation with CA leading deaths

Continued dispersion in confirmation in Texas

LA county leads all counties in both categories—in fact first time only county with 2K+ confirmation in the country in awhile

Looks like Cook County IL doing some reclassification as deaths are negative