Covid 3/3/21

Covid19mathblog.com

Super late but better than never? Why take forever for something so obvious? – https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2021/02/26/science/reopen-schools-safety-ventilation.html

Truth hurts sometimes – IF the article is true which would seem very plausible many don’t want the truth – https://nypost.com/2021/03/02/professor-quits-covid-19-research-amid-hostility-over-his-findings/

“Jonas Ludvigsson, a professor of clinical epidemiology at the Karolinska Institute, said he has lost sleep as a result of the “angry messages through social media and email” assailing his study and partly blaming him for Sweden’s contrarian COVID-19 strategy, the College Fix reported.

His research focused on children ages 1 to 16 during the first wave of the pandemic last spring, including those with “laboratory-verified or clinically verified COVID-19, including patients who were admitted for multisystem inflammatory syndrome in children” because it’s “likely” related to the bug. Only 15 children went to the ICU — a rate of 0.77 per 100,000, according to the report. Four had “an underlying chronic coexisting condition” and none died.

As far as teachers, “fewer than” 30 ended up in the ICU during the same period — a rate of about 19 per 100,000.

Ludvigsson also noted that children weren’t wearing face masks, while the rest of Swedish citizens were simply “encouraged” to practice social distancing.”

I do agree with the sentiment of this article the J&J vaccine might be better just because of the 1 shot – based on our lifestyle in the US. I can imagine many forgetting or waiting too long for the second shot. Also the dataset is not apples to apples since the J&J results do have the S. African variant involved – who knows how Moderna and Pfizer performs in that environment https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/22301014/covid-19-vaccine-johnson-and-johnson-coronavirus

“One big reason to be excited about the new Johnson & Johnson vaccine for Covid-19, which was authorized by the Food and Drug Administration over the weekend for emergency use in the US: Unlike the Moderna and Pfizer vaccines already in use, it requires only one shot for full protection.”

“For hospitalizations and death, the Johnson & Johnson vaccine reported 100 percent effectiveness after 28 days (all of the vaccines so far take weeks to build up the body’s defenses).”

But the bad news for J&J because it is an adenovirus it requires cells – which likely came from IF you go back enough in time to aborted fetuses in 1973 and 1985. Obviously they are not being produced from them now directly but from independent cells lines decades later. I am sure if we take this tact we can find many things coming from past sins – are we that woke (did I even use that word right)? https://www.kmov.com/news/st-louis-archdiocese-calls-j-j-vaccine-morally-compromised-urges-catholics-to-seek-alternatives/article_f92ada0c-7b87-11eb-9cc8-038be9889a0a.html

“The St. Louis Archdiocese released a statement Tuesday encouraging followers to "examine the moral and ethical concerns" around the Johnson & Johnson vaccine, saying that Catholics should avoid that particular dose if alternatives are available.”

Perhaps another reason to get the vaccine not because you wont die but who would want something that can permanently harm you. Vaccine studies should focus on preventing long covid and muscle damages etc… – https://newatlas.com/medical/covid19-heart-damage-virus-infects-muscle-cells/

“A robust new study has demonstrated how SARS-CoV-2, the coronavirus that causes COVID-19, can infect and directly damage heart tissue. The research suggests previously reported cases of heart damage in COVID-19 patients are not due to inflammation in response to an infection but the virus itself interfering with heart muscles.”

And of course the big news in TX – Gov Abbott has declared covid over in TX and no mask needed. Hmmm we all need to weigh are own risk/reward. For me I think I will still mask up when I feel I should – I don’t do it running outside. https://apnews.com/article/texas-lifts-covid-19-mask-mandate-ed7cd1b065a1afd71175f255fb5148aa

“Texas is lifting its mask mandate, Gov. Greg Abbott said Tuesday, making it the largest state to no longer require one of the most effective ways to slow the spread of the coronavirus.”

TX not at zero for sure – last 4 weeks Harris County tops in confirmation – but not bad when reviewed on pa per capita basis

State total the confirmations 7 day moving average still below event the summer peak levels – but deaths are higher. And unfortunately the test data has fallen dramatically so perhaps that’s driving confirmation down? Confirmation to test is dramatically higher as people are more discriminating with when they take test – only when show symptoms?

Harris County view similar to state view

US death still under 2K

TX leads confirmation – CA leads death

Harris county leads confirmation – LA leads death

Not much dispersion in the middle of the country – focused on shore line states

Vaccine administered in the US hitting another peak