Covid 4/1/21

Covid19mathblog.com

Vaccine positive news for mRNA vaccine – https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/70/wr/mm7013e3.htm

“Prospective cohorts of 3,950 health care personnel, first responders, and other essential and frontline workers completed weekly SARS-CoV-2 testing for 13 consecutive weeks. Under real-world conditions, mRNA vaccine effectiveness of full immunization (≥14 days after second dose) was 90% against SARS-CoV-2 infections regardless of symptom status; vaccine effectiveness of partial immunization (≥14 days after first dose but before second dose) was 80%.”

Unfortunate in the study is the lack of age break out on those that got infected that were unvaccinated. I have asked for the information. One cannot conclude that being vaccinated and young healthy produces a significant difference.

Negative vaccine news – J&J skin side effect – does not look good could alter someones risk/reward but note he is 74 – https://www.health.com/condition/infectious-diseases/coronavirus/skin-peeling-after-covid-vaccine

“A Virginia man who got his COVID-19 vaccine in March experienced an "extremely rare" reaction to the shot within days of his vaccination—first an itchy rash, then pain, redness, swelling, and peeling skin across his body that landed him in the hospital for five days.

Richard Terrell, 74, got the Johnson & Johnson COVID-19 vaccine on March 6. Days later, he developed itching under his arm.”

“"It all just happened so fast. My skin peeled off," he told WRIC. He consulted a dermatologist, who sent him straight to the ER.

"It was stinging, burning, and itching. Whenever I bent my arms or legs, like the inside of my knee, it was very painful where the skin was swollen and was rubbing against itself," Terrell told the outlet. He spent five days in the hospital, where his legs, hands, and arms swelled, turned purple, and became very painful.

In the hospital, doctors determined that Terrell’s symptoms were a rare reaction to the Johnson & Johnson COVID-19 vaccine.”

Brazil still soaring – US just at 1076 deaths. US in theory COULD be at 25% immunity if you add the confirmed and the vaccinated and assume different pool.

Brazil, India, and France are the big issue areas.

NY leading confirmation – CA leading death

Providence RI leads all counties in confirmation. LA leads death

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