Covid 4/19/21

Covid19mathblog.com

Just to show how bad things are in Brazil – https://www.reuters.com/world/americas/brazils-covid-19-response-cost-thousands-lives-says-humanitarian-group-2021-04-15/

“"I never thought that I would be living through something like this after 20 years working in intensive care," Aureo do Carmo Filho, an ICU doctor in Rio, told Reuters.

"Using mechanical restraints without sedatives is bad practice … the patient is submitted to a form of torture," he said.

Seriously ill COVID-19 patients struggling for breath are sedated in order to put them on ventilators, an intrusive practice the body can naturally resist.”

And in India – suspension from flight from India – AND Brazil should probably been done awhile ago – https://www.thedailystar.net/travel/news/hong-kong-suspends-flights-india-after-50-passengers-test-covid-19-positive-2080005

“Hong Kong has suspended all flights connecting to India from April 20 to May 3 amid a surge of Covid-19 cases in India.”

“The decision comes after 50 passengers of two flights of Indian airline Vistara were found positive for Covid-19 when tested upon arrival in Hong Kong this month.”

Once again so slow in catching up with the data – but here is a “study” to state the obvious SARS CoV-2 is airborne transmission and we wasted all the money and time to clean surfaces! – https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(21)00869-2/fulltext#

“In conclusion, we propose that it is a scientific error to use lack of direct evidence of SARS-CoV-2 in some air samples to cast doubt on airborne transmission while overlooking the quality and strength of the overall evidence base. There is consistent, strong evidence that SARS-CoV-2 spreads by airborne transmission. Although other routes can contribute, we believe that the airborne route is likely to be dominant. The public health community should act accordingly and without further delay.”

Don’t always agree with Bill Maher – but respect he tries to be neutral in terms of party alignment – noted all the concerns we have identified from obesity solutions could have prevented MOST (78%) of deaths and hospitalization. Going OUTSIDE is helpful – likely quarantining inside / gathering inside leads to more confirmation. https://youtu.be/Qp3gy_CLXho

US is falling way down. Brazil and India on top. Note confirmed per capita – it would seem a well tested environment would likely lead to around 5-10% confirmed per capita – this means India has a long ways to go.

India is starting to see a big surge in deaths now

FL leads confirmation and CA leads death

Not many counties showing up in confirmation chart below – may need to lower criteria