Covid19mathblog.com

Lets start with the vaccine news -J&J coming back soon crazy low numbers – interesting how they wont say how many more if that occurred – https://www.nytimes.com/2021/04/22/us/politics/johnson-and-johnson-vaccine.html

“When top federal health officials abruptly decided early last week to recommend a temporary halt in the use of the shot, six women had been reported to have had the disorder, a combination of clots in the brain that led to bleeding and low platelets, components of the blood that normally help to heal wounds.

That was fewer than one in a million recipients of Johnson & Johnson’s shot in the United States. But officials worried that more cases were hidden or could develop shortly as the new vaccine rolled out.

That fear has not materialized. Dr. Marks and Dr. Janet Woodcock, the F.D.A.’s acting commissioner, said the clotting disorder appeared to be nearly as rare as they had hoped it would be when they recommended the pause.

“We’ve now received more cases, but it isn’t an avalanche,” Dr. Woodcock said. “We’re not seeing a big surge, which is a great relief.”

“Dr. Marks declined to specify how many new cases had been confirmed, but said the rate of the disorder was not expected to be higher “in terms of the order of magnitude.””

The word to understand and expect to hear is “breakthrough” cases – they are those who have been vaccinated but still got infected – still very low numbers https://slate.com/technology/2021/04/covid-19-vaccine-breakthrough-infections-cdc-data.html?

“Last week, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention reported that more than 5,800 out of 75 million fully vaccinated people in the U.S. have been infected with COVID-19. Of these “breakthrough cases,” 396 were hospitalized and 74 people died. The CDC defines a breakthrough case as someone who gets sick, either symptomatically or asymptomatically, 14 or more days after full vaccination. A few headlines about the report implied, rather irresponsibly, that the breakthroughs happened because the vaccines didn’t work. CNN, for instance, put it this way: “So far, 5,800 fully vaccinated people have caught Covid anyway in US, CDC said.””

So what if a treatment was available for covid that was very cheap under $30 and was well understood in terms of side effects AND you know by statistics you are around 10% likely to get infected by covid (per capita confirmation rates) what would you do differently in terms of vaccination? I would still go with J&J but at least I know there is an out. I would not likely have my kids take the vaccine at this time. Also I am less inclined for continuous boosters as I rather focus on my health/lifestyle to maintain a strong immune system….. This video is a must watch to at least understand the potential of bias in WHO and see the tangled web we live in. WHO reports to no one – so no accountability – other than the funds they obtain can and do come with strings. This blog has noted ivermectin many times and do see great risk/reward profile for the drug – and I would hope to be able to use it if infected by covid. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YcLnW_3_r2c

If you want a good flavor of the video without this much time commitment go to 40 min and watch for 5 min….skip around to FAQ at the end some interesting points.

Japan declares new state of emergency for Tokyo per covid. In the world chart you cant even see Japan

But by itself you can see they are seeing a rise – not back at their previous winter peak just yet

The scary thing for Japan they are under 1% confirmation per capita which is very low for countries well tested and with covid infections – but that’s generally the Asian countries. S. Korea at 0.2% India now at 1.2%

FL leads confirmation with MI leading deaths

Cook IL leads county – there was a cold shot.

Vaccine dosing continues to rise in the US