Covid 4/26/21

Covid19mathblog.com

Second dosage around 8% are missing it – https://www.nytimes.com/2021/04/25/business/covid-vaccines-second-doses.html

“More than five million people, or nearly 8 percent of those who got a first shot of the Pfizer or Moderna vaccines, have missed their second doses, according to the most recent data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. That is more than double the rate among people who got inoculated in the first several weeks of the nationwide vaccine campaign.”

“The reasons vary for why people are missing their second shots. In interviews, some said they feared the side effects, which can include flulike symptoms. Others said they felt that they were sufficiently protected with a single shot.”

““I’m very worried, because you need that second dose,” said Dr. Paul Offit, a professor at the University of Pennsylvania and a member of the Food and Drug Administration’s vaccine advisory panel.”

I am not as worried as the data notes the first dosage is the bulk of the effectiveness is the first dose. The added second dose boost the effectiveness 10-20% – not insurmountable if you adopted a healthier lifestyle and limited exposure of poorly ventilated areas.

Perhaps forgoing second dose to supply the rest of the world could net out as a benefit to reduce mutation and save more lives.

Reviewing the last 30 days in terms of concentrated infection (per capita) we see Turkey leading with India absent from list largely because their denominator is so large.

The good news the fatality rates are relatively low outside Mexico.

This is a shocking slide to me – to see some countries fatality rates rise. In theory we should be better at treating covid – but this graph is not showing that outside the developed countries US, UK, Italy Japan. Interesting to see Russia fatality rates rising now. Mexico needs some help treating covid. Ivermectin?

India is playing massive catch up to get their confirmation per capita in line with rest of the world

India confirmation way over US peak 7 day moving average

FL leading confirmation and NY leading death

Typical counties of concern – good news MI falling off the list

Disclaimer of Covid19MathBlog.com

This website is a resource for individuals and entities other than current or prospective investors and offers general market observations. No content presented on this website should be construed as an offer to sell, or solicitation of any offer to purchase, any securities or other investments or as an offer to provide any advisory services; this website does not create an advisory relationship with any user.

The information on COVID-19 and the impacts of the novel coronavirus are presented to contribute to the public discussion and debate. Information has been obtained from sources deemed to be reliable, but nothing on this website should be deemed to be or interpreted as being medical, epidemiological, or public health advice. All visitors to the website are urged to follow the advice of their medical professionals, the U.S. Center for Disease Controls, and any other relevant governmental authorities.

Disclaimer of Warranties and Accuracy of Data

Although the data herein has been produced and processed from sources believed to be reliable, no warranty, expressed or implied, is made regarding accuracy, adequacy, completeness, legality, reliability or usefulness of any information. This disclaimer applies to both isolated and aggregate uses of the information. The information is provided on an "as is" basis. All warranties of any kind, express or implied, including but not limited to the implied warranties of merchantability, fitness for a particular purpose, freedom from contamination by computer viruses and non-infringement of proprietary rights are disclaimed. Changes may be periodically made to the information herein; these changes may or may not be incorporated in any new version of the publication. Data can also quickly become out-of-date. It is recommended that careful attention be paid to the contents of any data associated with a file, and that the originator of the data or information be contacted with any questions regarding appropriate use.

Disclaimer of Reliability

By using the this website, you assume all risks associated with the use of this site, including any risk of your computer, software or data being damaged by any virus, software, or any other file which might be transmitted or activated via a COVID 19 Math Blog web page or your access to it. COVID 19 Math Blog shall not be liable for any special, incidental, or consequential damages, including, without limitation, lost revenues or lost profits, resulting from the use or misuse of the information contained in COVID 19 Math Blog web pages.

Links to Other Websites

This website contains links to other Internet websites and information provided by persons not affiliated with COVID 19 Math Blog. Such links are not endorsements or referrals of any products, services or information contained in such websites, and no information in any such website has been endorsed or approved hereby. No claims, promises, or guarantees about the completeness, accuracy, currency, content or quality of information contained in the links to and from this website are made; information provided and opinions expressed by others do not necessarily represent the opinion of Skylar. Skylar expressly disclaims any and all liability resulting from reliance on such information or opinions.