Covid 5/3/21

Covid19mathblog.com

India is the news for covid – vaccine maker CEO sending mix messages – https://www.businessinsider.com/vaccine-manufacturer-fled-india-covid-19-threats-2021-5

“The CEO of the Serum Institute, a vaccine manufacturer in India, said he fled the country because of incessant threats against him.

In an interview with the Times of London, Adar Poonawalla said he went to England to escape threats from people claiming he’s holding up vaccines.”

“The Serum Institute is the world’s largest vaccine manufacturer, producing more than 60 million doses of the AstraZeneca and Oxford vaccine every month.”

“At the time of his interview, Poonawalla said he’d stay in England for "an extended time, because I don’t want to go back to that situation."

"Everything falls on my shoulders, but I can’t do it alone," he added.

Hours after the interview was published, Poonawalla backtracked and wrote on Twitter that he’d return to India "in a few days."”

Notes from India indicating obesity playing a role in deaths – https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/city/delhi/is-obesity-adding-to-covid-19-complication-risk-in-young/articleshow/82335004.cms?utm_source=contentofinterest&utm_medium=text&utm_campaign=cppst&from=mdr

“According to Dr Suresh Kumar, medical director, Lok Nayak hospital most of the younger Covid-positive people requiring n his hospital were either overweight or obese.”

Now they ae saying no herd immunity – endemic as noted before…. https://www.nytimes.com/2021/05/03/health/covid-herd-immunity-vaccine.html

“they are coming to the conclusion that rather than making a long-promised exit, the virus will most likely become a manageable threat that will continue to circulate in the United States for years to come, still causing hospitalizations and deaths but in much smaller numbers.

How much smaller is uncertain and depends in part on how much of the nation, and the world, becomes vaccinated and how the coronavirus evolves. It is already clear, however, that the virus is changing too quickly, new variants are spreading too easily and vaccination is proceeding too slowly for herd immunity to be within reach anytime soon.”

““The virus is unlikely to go away,” said Rustom Antia, an evolutionary biologist at Emory University in Atlanta. “But we want to do all we can to check that it’s likely to become a mild infection.””

“Yet vaccinations remain the key to transforming the virus into a controllable threat, experts said.

Dr. Anthony S. Fauci, the Biden administration’s top adviser on Covid-19, acknowledged the shift in experts’ thinking.

“People were getting confused and thinking you’re never going to get the infections down until you reach this mystical level of herd immunity, whatever that number is,” he said.””

US is slowly dropping out of the leader in death – its all India now

India just blossomed in confirmation starting end of March and has not abated

FL leads confirmation – CA leads death

Temps are warm in FL – we need to focus on ventilation if they want to slow confirmation down.

County chart is a lot more focus now as numbers fall