Covid19mathblog.com

Is it a battle of math between the small amount that will be harmed by covid vs. the small amount that will be harmed by the vaccine? The interesting thing is they are not the same group. The vaccine impact seems to by the young. Evidence grows stronger for Covid vaccine link to heart issue, CDC says (nbcnews.com)

“A higher-than-usual number of cases of a type of heart inflammation has been reported following Covid-19 vaccination, especially among young men following their second dose of an mRNA vaccine, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention said Thursday.

Overall, 226 cases of myocarditis or pericarditis after vaccination in people younger than age 30 have been confirmed, Dr. Tom Shimabukuro, deputy director of the CDC’s Immunization Safety Office, said during a presentation to a Food and Drug Administration advisory group. Further investigation is needed, however, to confirm whether the vaccination was the cause of the heart problem.

Normally, fewer than 100 cases would be expected for this age group.

Teenagers and people in their early 20s accounted for more than half of the myocarditis cases reported to the CDC’s safety monitoring systems following Covid-19 vaccination, despite representing a fraction of people who have received the shots.”

Is there an underground market for vaccine forgery or are the vaccines not working or perhaps testing is bad? Passengers positive for COVID on cruise billed as ‘fully vaccinated’ (usatoday.com)

“Two passengers from the United States who shared a room on board Celebrity Cruises’ Celebrity Millennium ship, which was billed as carrying "fully vaccinated crew and guests", have tested positive for COVID-19, the cruise line said in a statement.

The tests came back positive during end-of-cruise testing, which is completed 72 hours before passengers return to the U.S., Celebrity Cruises spokesperson Jonathon Fishman told USA TODAY.

All adult passengers were required to show proof of vaccination in addition to a negative COVID-19 test within a 72-hour period before the ship departed from the Caribbean island of St. Maarten Saturday.”

Interesting to see the flu and upper respiratory issues coming back – does this means mask work to minimize colds and flus – is the sacrifice worth it – or as the article points out at the end – individual responsibility/accountability trumps all – After Abbott lifted Texas’ mask mandate, COVID has waned – but the flu hasn’t (houstonchronicle.com)

“Houston hospitals had reported record-low levels of influenza earlier this year, which doctors have credited to safety precautions, such as mask wearing and hand-washing.

On HoustonChronicle.com: Houston libraries reopen after a year that forced massive changes

In April, the Chronicle reported just three patients had tested positive for influenza at Memorial Hermann during the 2020-2021 flu season, compared to 983 patients during the 2019-2020 flu season. Doctors test for both flu and COVID-19 as a precaution.”

“In a recent study , researchers with the National Bureau of Economic Research examined the effects of Abbott’s reopening plan on both COVID-19 and the economy. They found that neither COVID-19 cases nor economic output were seriously affected in the two previous months.

The reason, they wrote, is that most Texans had made up their minds about what they deem safe when it comes to COVID-19.

The findings, the authors wrote, “underscore the limits of late-pandemic era COVID-19 reopening policies to alter private behavior.””

Summer time blue for Russia – there confirmation per capita is low it just seems like it is unavoidable to get up to the 8+% range – ‘Non-working week’ declared in Moscow as COVID-19 cases jump | Coronavirus pandemic News | Al Jazeera

“The mayor of Moscow has announced a “non-working” week in the Russian capital, with non-essential workers told to stay home as coronavirus cases hit a six-month high.”

India back on top followed by Brazil. Note Russia at 3.5% confirmed per capita.

Overall Russia is not seeing a spike but as we show in the US data its at least county basis so examining such high level of footprint not the most effective to isolate issues. India as a respike in deaths along with Brazil.

TX leads confirmation. CA revising deaths. US states has had a hodge podge of approaches to Covid – yet most are 8+% not matter how strict to how loose of policy.

The TX numbers are weird as there are some major confirmation revisions and the highest county in TX is Collins County – which has not been in the top rankings

Only 2 counties made the hot spot list