Covid 12/20/21 | COVID 19 Information Page

Covid19mathblog.com

I suspect the narrative has finally shifted to the point vaccination status is irrelevant in terms of transmission – at least I hope so with the overwhelming amount of data. I know I was heavily criticized for this stance throughout the summer since the South was getting confirmed AND they were less vaccinated – but this is a case where correlation is not causation. The causation is it was hot in the South and in the West – leading to more people being inside and the fact IF you set your temperature at 72 – this means the HVAC unit likely <60F causing the virus to encapsulate leading for longevity of “life” in the air.

Now we have a flip in confirmation per capita and it is once again about the weather and ours and the virus behavior to that weather. Going inside plus the encapsulation of the virus in general increases the odds of transmission. VERY hard to deduce anything if you don’t weather normalize the dataset that are weather dependent – just ask any power or gas trader. You will get wrong conclusions without weather normalization. Of course some will claim its Omicron causing more transmission – but once again it is Omicron in the winter vs. Delta in the summer – is that really a fair comparison knowing how physically a coronavirus acts in weather?

It is fundamentally important to admit you are wrong when you are – else you will never learn. REPEAT – VACCINATION STATUS DOES NOT RESULT IN ANY SIGNIFICANT MEANING FOR TRANSMISSION – this is the DATA from real life – not some clinical trail or lab experiment confirming some reduction of viral load. Initially its great to depend on a lab setting but eventually reality surpass any lab data. We need to stop with office/shopping/entertainment restrictions as a function of vaccination status. Antigen testing at gatherings is valid in hotspots for BOTH vaccination status type. Vaccination can and does show a reduction of hospitalization and death – but so does many other things from staying more quarantined, maintaining a healthy lifestyle, having a childhood full of sickness – hence strong immunity as you age, prior Covid infection and recovery, etc…..

With so many people getting covid its important to review some prophylactic measures – remember the focus needs to be reducing viral load. Reduction in viral load reduces the likelihood of getting infected – it does not have to be 0 viral load. It also will likely aid the recovery time period.

Ventilation will reduce viral load! Get yourself a CO2 test – several available on Amazon. Focus on staying in environments less than 1000 ppm

Temp above 60F will prevent encapsulation allowing the virus to “die” off faster.

Nasal spray will reduce viral load – do this even if you are sick you want lower viral load – Several spray options: Butadiene, Nozin, Xylitol, Zicam, etc…..

I used Airfree technology which you can buy on Amazon – I wrote on this back in August 2020 – “Basically a heat exchanger at high temp creating convection which when the air passes the virus/germs get heated up to 400F – outcome decomposed microscopic ash – the concern would be volume flow rate within area seems low since no fan – However they do have papers to read – my favorite would be the following https://www.airfree.com/Files/Billeder/AirFree/Testes/Soto%20et%20al%20scientific%20article%20.pdf”

For those that are infected – I got infected back in July – https://covid19mathblog.com/2021/07/covid-7-23-21/ – I threw the kitchen sink at my illness much like Joe Rogan – “started my prescription of HCQ, Ivermectin yesterday along with other things melatonin, vitamin D, black cumin, etc…. I am doing that only because of the risk/reward I perceive and the noted potential benefit of reducing long covid” . The earlier you do this the better the outcome. I cannot say with certainty any of these drugs helped me but I certainly had a confidence boost that I was doing something beyond letting fate decide my outcome.

Another Ivermectin study that just came out – https://www.researchgate.net/publication/356962821_Ivermectin_prophylaxis_used_for_COVID-19_reduces_COVID-19_infection_and_mortality_rates_A_220517-subject_populational-level_retrospective_citywide

“This evidence showed a 7% reduction in COVID-19 infection rate with use of ivermectin: COVID-19 infection rate ratio (Risk ratio (RR) of 0.93; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.89 – 0.98; p = 0.003). A total of 62 deaths (1.4% mortality rate) occurred among users and 79 deaths (2.6% mortality rate) among non-users, showing a 48% reduction in mortality rate (RR, 0,52; 95%CI, 0.37 – 0.72; p = 0.0001). Risk of dying from COVID-19 among ivermectin users was 45% lower than non-users (RR, 0.55; 95%CI, 0.40 – 0.77; p = 0.0004). Conclusion: Prophylactic use of ivermectin showed significantly reduced COVID-19 infection rate, mortality rate and chance of dying from COVID-19 on a calculated population-level analysis, which controlled for all relevant confounding variables.”

Don’t ride your high horse of principle – look at the risk/reward and do what is best for you. The risk for taking ivermectin is very little – it cost less than $5 and it has been taken for decades – the side effects are comparable to Advil/Tylenol!

WHY is it important to understand that vaccines was not going to be the answer early on? Why was I criticized from both family and friends for my view based on just data? IF you have a belief early on it changes the path. The path to believe this is endemic would have indicated that a pharmaceutical solution would not likely solve the issue – at least by itself. Other forms of solutions should have been addressed including CO2 guidelines and suggestions for modifications of HVAC, Vitamin D give outs, get healthy initiatives – similar tactics used to reduce smoking could have been done for unhealthy foods, direct point out that health is a prime driver of covid deaths, quarantine the vulnerable let others live their lives…..suggestions as discussed https://gbdeclaration.org/

“The most compassionate approach that balances the risks and benefits of reaching herd immunity, is to allow those who are at minimal risk of death to live their lives normally to build up immunity to the virus through natural infection, while better protecting those who are at highest risk. We call this Focused Protection.”

Guess what narrowing use for vaccine as concerns grow who would have thought? A doctor discussion on vaccine should be made for everyone – this should not be a universal imposed requirement. There will be people whose risk outweighs the reward – (heart issues and those with history of zoster (herpes, shingles)) https://www.npr.org/sections/coronavirus-live-updates/2021/12/16/1064909742/cdc-vote-narrow-use-of-johnson-and-johnson-covid-vaccine?s=09

“The advisers said Thursday that vaccines from Pfizer and Moderna should be preferred by all adults, who may be at greater risk for developing severe blood clots from the J&J vaccine than those under age 18. Some committee members said the J&J vaccine should remain available for people who prefer it.”

US leads the death and confirmation count worldwide. The good news is our fatality rates on a 30 day basis is extremely low 0.19%.

S. America has been out of the news – as they are now just a sliver or reporting. Its their summer and they don’t have HVAC as much as others e.g. Australia