Covid 1/16/22

Covid19mathblog.com

There is an alarming push to sequester thought and any resemblance to the effect of questioning the current narrative. Certainly questioning and ignoring the crazy conspirators makes sense, but people with high credentials and those who only point to data or have their own personal choices all being canceled? It doesn’t take much history lessons to know the current society message may not be the ultimate outcome most would like. Recently watched the Trial of the Chicago 7 (recommend) on Netflix and I see a potential overlap in reach of power and sequestering those who have a message that may not go with the current government trend – https://www.netflix.com/title/81043755

Effort is being made to cancel people. Lately we have lots of press for canceling Joe Rogan from “Doctors” you can find the article mentions in Rolling Stone – Forbes – yet they all didn’t even do a simple journalistic research to understand those who signed the letter – https://spotifyopenletter.wordpress.com/2022/01/10/an-open-letter-to-spotify/

You wonder why the traditional mainstream media losing audience – people have to look to other sources to vet the letter.

Twitter Account Ethical Skeptic – notes ONLY 5% are considered experts to qualify the capability to cancel someone in this subject matter. https://twitter.com/EthicalSkeptic/status/1482135557329334272?t=IGF-bBD1_LbZZNVzWHGaEQ&s=19

Djokovic drama is over and he is deported from Australia NOT because he caused a direct harm to society – BUT for the public interest. One point was made that there was a concern he would cause more antivax – well he had a medical exemption probably because of natural immunity in Dec! Perhaps valuing and understanding natural immunity should be considered vs. an all vax strategy? https://www.bbc.com/news/world-australia-60014059

“Djokovic was originally granted a medical exemption to enter Australia by two different independent health panels – one commissioned by Tennis Australia, the other by the state government of Victoria – after testing positive for coronavirus in mid-December.

However, the Australian Border Force detained him on 5 January for not meeting federal coronavirus requirements, and his visa was revoked.

A judge later overturned that decision, but the government stepped in last Friday to revoke the visa again, saying doing so was in the public interest.

Although Djokovic is not vaccinated against Covid-19, he has not actively promoted anti-vax disinformation. However, Australian anti-vaxxers have been using the hashtag #IStandWithDjokovic on social media.”

Is this all Djokovic problem? Literally almost 80% vaccinated! And now they are seeing historically high confirmations and deaths – and its summer time for them! Should they even host the Australian Open in this surge?

Lots of Australia comparison to US and European countries – but they are an island and in the Pacific so best to compare with other island countries in that region. Death per capita is the second lowest (NZ #1) but likely not after this surge.

Australia confirmed per capita (6.8%) is a long way from the US and many European countries – is it inevitable that countries approach 10-20% confirmation per capita?

Well all those vaccines certainly did not control the spread – here we see the confirmation is nearly triple than the previous peak. Fatality rates the worse in Central America.

In the US California confirmations are skyrocketing – what all those restrictions not working? NY leads deaths – also another restrictive state.

California observing 2X confirmation when over 64% vaccinated vs. essentially none last year. Deaths are much lower than they were last year. Is this the right level of vaccination if death is the only metric?

NY confirmation 3X vs last year deaths are very similar to last year.

TX similar to California – 3X more confirmation but deaths are much better than last year

FL confirmation up but deaths also low. Restrictive policies do not seem to offer any apparent advantage.

Counties with over 90% vaccinated leading transmission rates