Covid 5/22/20

Busy today trying to find detail information on county level and mapping with antibody testing as the fatality rates for under 50 in NY are quite low. Once again I would caution to not consider death as the only issue as lifetime of feeling weak or not 100% is something to consider. This part of the equation is yet unknown.

The best so far I have found in Los Angeles County – they have a great dashboard – unfortunately it is not open to DB access – so I had to manually pull the data.

http://dashboard.publichealth.lacounty.gov/covid19_surveillance_dashboard/

In combination with – https://news.usc.edu/168987/antibody-testing-results-covid-19-infections-los-angeles-county/

Results:

Now I still wasn’t able to remove comorbidity deaths to see IF you were under 65 and healthy what could this mean to you…..I suspect it would make the numbers much lower! Eerily similar to NY result on the Avg – note NY was under 50 (0.09%)

Stay tune as we search the net for more specific data but so far being young (this case under 65) and healthy and you will be a good spot beyond the obvious….still wear a mask!… go outside…eat healthy…take vitamin C and D..zinc occasionally….and your odds will approach zero in terms of fatality at relative little cost and great rewards. Trust me being healthy gives you more reward than avoiding covid deaths ?

I am a big time buyer of there is a mechanical mitigation mechanism to reducing covid contagion that is not extremely costly or complex. The study with a 14.5 hour flight and no infection gives me hope – it does look that airplanes do recirculate air but no more than 50% – https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/books/NBK143720/

First step are being proposed by REHVA is The Federation of European Heating, Ventilation and Air Conditioning associations founded in 1963. – https://www.rehva.eu/activities/covid-19-guidance

You can see their main focus is to push for 100% outdoor air units. Now this is not always available or perhaps ideal due to humidity hence I see a system that mixes more fresh air and some recirculation with UV might be the answer.

“Would you recommend the installation of UV air treatment systems or ionisation units in an existing air handling unit (AHU), given that they won’t increase pressure losses?

Answer

Such installations (UV systems, ionisation units etc.) are more relevant for healthcare facilities. REHVA guidance targets common non-residential buildings and in this case, outdoor air is NOT a contamination source. Therefore, UV-treatment of outdoor air in air handling units is not necessary. This is the reason we do not recommend UV-applications.”

US daily death fell some 1263….however Brazil (1188) is not looking good and there are only signs it will get worse same for Mexico….

NY leader but at only 107…IL leading the way in confirmation.

The open states since May – Ex-Il as IL probably needs to do something as there were not good signs to begin with to be opening up. Currently no major trend changes.

As noted before opening is very subjective – this is a measure of opening and you can see even Texas is not rated as 100% open.

Brazil has still barely tested similar to Mexico. IF you don’t test you cant figure out where you need to focus and contain.

Brazil has now topped Italy peak and no sign of stopping next Spain then Italy then NY…..Mexico is topping Belgium.