Covid 6/16/20

There goes some salmon demand – https://www.bloomberg.com/amp/news/articles/2020-06-15/salmon-shunned-in-china-after-link-to-beijing-virus-outbreak?

“ A fresh outbreak of coronavirus cases in Beijing is being blamed on imported salmon, prompting a nationwide boycott of the fish.

Salmon has been taken off the shelves in major supermarkets like Walmart Inc. and deleted from grocery delivery platforms across China, while top experts are warning people not to consume the omega-3 rich fish. Provinces and cities from Yunnan to Shanghai are testing the seafood at local wet markets for the virus.

The backlash came after the chairman of a major fruit and vegetable market called Xinfadi, the site of over 100 newly-detected infections in Beijing, said that the virus was traced to the chopping board used by a seller of imported salmon.

While it is unclear if the virus can be actually be transmitted through frozen food that’s later thawed, the furore has put a $700 million market for imported salmon at risk, dealing a blow to major exporters like Denmark, Norway and Australia.”

““We have yet to find out whether human beings transmitted the virus to salmon, or salmon contracted the virus first,” said Zeng Guang, a senior expert with the National Health Commission, in an interview with state media on Sunday. He warned Beijing residents not to eat raw salmon or purchase imported seafood for the time being.

Wu Zunyou, chief epidemiologist of China’s Center for Diseases Prevention and Control said on Sunday that the virus can survive on the surface of frozen food for up to three months and that the agency “highly suspects” contaminated goods as the source of the latest outbreak.”

“In a study published in April, researchers with the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations concluded that the coronavirus is not known to infect aquatic food animals or contaminate their products.

The risk “should be negligible” with “proper food handling and sanitation,” although their surfaces might potentially become contaminated when handled by people who carry the virus, scientists including Melba G. Bondad-Reantaso wrote.”

American Cancer Society comes out with guidance to prevent cancer – https://www.popsci.com/story/health/diet-exercise-how-to-prevent-cancer/

Exercise More, Eat more whole foods and less processed stuff, don’t drink alcohol

“The ACS now recommends 150 to 300 minutes of moderate-intensity or 75 to 150 minutes of vigorous physical activity every week, which works out to either 2.5 to 5 hours or 1.25 to 2.5 hours a week. Broken down even further, that’s an average of about 20 to 45 minutes of moderate exercise a day, or 10 to 20 of vigorous activity.”

“ACS guidelines now suggest what it calls “a healthy eating pattern.” That means eating nutritious food, a variety of veggies, plenty of fruit, and lots of whole grains. It also means limiting or not eating red and processed meats, sugary drinks, and highly processed foods in general.”

“Alcohol consumption is the third-biggest modifiable risk factor for cancer after smoking and being overweight. At least seven types of cancers are directly linked to it, including oral cavity, colorectal, liver, and breast cancers. That’s because alcohol is a known carcinogen—it damages DNA, increases cellular division rates, and causes cellular (or oxidative) stress.”

“The ACS notes that if you do drink, your goal should be to limit yourself to no more than one drink a day for women, and two for men. That may be a lot lower than what you normally consume, but if you really want to reduce your cancer risk, this is one of the biggest impacts you can have.”

Overall reasonable request if you do not want to get cancer and also very likely improve on heart condition. I know many won’t want to follow this advice but look what we had to do as a society with covid death at 116k and rising. Media always noting more deaths than certain wars. Well Heart and Cancer deaths each year in US TOTAL 647K and 599K a year respectively https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/fastats/deaths.htm . These steps could save 10x Covid lives – plus all the hospitalization and medical cost. These guidelines would also reduce covid deaths. I am all for limited govt. but govt is needed to limit our vices and for sure our lifestyle is one of our biggest vices. Just like global warming concerns on externalities not being paid by fossil fuel usage, there are huge externalities from society choices to drink alcohol, be sedentary, and eat process foods. Following these guidelines you will see benefits in your lifetime unlike global warming issue which may not be seen until 50+ years from now.

Great update day with US in 4th place in deaths 395. India took the top spot at 705

Global snapshot – health/lifestyle/diet looks to be an obvious key metric in our death count. Along with population density.

NJ leading the death chart for the US at 49 followed by Georgia at 43

Riverside CA now showing an increase in deaths – latest headlines – https://www.desertsun.com/story/news/health/2020/06/15/more-than-50-covid-19-patients-riverside-county-have-recovered/3191760001/

“Coronavirus in Riverside County: 795 new cases since Friday; more than 50% of patients have recovered”

Careful on the county local reporting as headlines grab attention. Not sure how many headlines noted 0 days. Below is Harris county deaths in the second chart note 3 zero death days and now the 9 death day spike. 7 day moving average death still not really significantly moving up just yet.

India is not looking good. Columbia is also starting to spike. Brazil and Mexico perhaps has past the peak.