Covid 6/22/20

Vitamin D once again comes back up – https://amp.theguardian.com/world/2020/jun/17/uk-ministers-order-urgent-vitamin-d-coronavirus-review?

“studies have suggested that vitamin D supplementation is safe and protects against acute respiratory tract infection. Higher levels of melanin in the skin lead to lower levels of vitamin D creation which are exacerbated in countries which have less sunlight. This can cause immune systems to be weaker.

PHE has acknowledged reports about vitamin D potentially reducing the risk of coronavirus but said there was not enough evidence to support this.

It has since April recommended all people take 10 micrograms of vitamin D a day to maintain bone and muscle health owing to concerns they may not be getting enough sunlight, particularly during the lockdown.”

“as many as 750 NHS staff have received free wellness packs including liposomal vitamin C, vitamin D and zinc from a voluntary initiative called the Frontline Immune Support Team, and there has been some frustration that a more holistic approach to the pandemic has not been implemented.

Singapore general hospital reportedly routinely gives coronavirus patients aged over 50 a mix of vitamin D, magnesium and vitamin B12, while countries which have recently had summers have generally been less affected by the pandemic.”

Interesting results here in terms of segment of population – https://www.scmp.com/week-asia/health-environment/article/3089934/mongolia-has-few-coronavirus-cases-and-some-say-its

Initially I thought population density but at the bottom they noted

“Inner Mongolia is part of mainland China, which at one point had the world’s highest number of infections. It has a population of about 25 million, and most residents there are ethnic Han Chinese.

The Mongolian population in Inner Mongolia is about 1.5 times that of the independent Outer Mongolia.

None of the [coronavirus] victims were ethnic Mongolians,” he says. “They were all Han Chinese.””

So whats the secret? Whole food? Cold water therapy?

“Mongolians attribute this low infection rate to several factors: clean air, and a steady diet of natural, free-range meat and milk. They also believe that generations of constant work, riding horses, herding sheep, as well as surviving dramatic temperature swings, from -60 to 45 degrees Celsius, have made them heartier and more resistant to disease”

“Mongolians live and eat simply, with blue skies and fresh meat and milk, and do not experience the stress and consumerism faced by people from other countries.”

“Chinburen believes all the lockdown measures and rules on wearing masks worked because people listened to instructions.”

Another thing we didn’t have in 1918 – https://phys.org/news/2020-06-scientists-source-all-atom-covid-spike.html

“Scientists produce first open source all-atom models of COVID-19 ‘spike’ protein”

“Scientists can use the models to conduct innovative and novel simulation research for the prevention and treatment of COVID-19, according to Im.”

Well Mexico has taken the top place on the death chart for the first time at 1044. Confirmation in Brazil was zero 2 days ago and spiked to 52K today – just show erratic of the datafeed. US death only 250 – but weekend feed.

NY back on the leader board of deaths for the US but only 42

Confirmation continue to grow in Florida, TX, CA

County view you can see its is focused on a certain spots in the state not the whole state

Below is the Harris County TX view with a new metric (7 day MA death/2-4 Wk Back Confirmation) – this would emulate more of the current deaths being attributed to those getting confirmed. Of recent it has risen while the overall current fatality rate has been falling. It has not hit the peal back in beginning of May.

Below timeline graph vs. usual 1st confirmation date to show the perspective on where each country sit now. You can US may have high deaths relative to the European countries – but looking at fatility rates and even the new metric we see the US at the mid to low end. Belgium, France and Italy are 2X the US. Mexico current outcome is not looking good.