A potential low risk high reward option for treating Covid – https://www.nzherald.co.nz/world/news/article.cfm?c_id=2&objectid=12343250
“Salt water could treat Covid-19, according to scientists who say evidence show the unusual remedy might work.
Researchers from the University of Edinburgh have found gargling salt water reduces symptoms of cough and colds and can stop them from getting worse.”
Looking at already developed drug – colchicine – anti-inflammatory pill – https://medicalxpress.com/news/2020-06-early-trial-ancient-drug-severe.html
“There’s new evidence that a 2,000-year-old medicine might offer hope against a modern scourge: COVID-19.
The medication, called colchicine, is an anti-inflammatory taken as a pill. It’s long been prescribed for gout, a form of arthritis, and its history goes back centuries. The drug was first sourced from the autumn crocus flower.”
“The trial involved 105 Greek patients hospitalized in April with COVID-19. Besides receiving standard antibiotics and antivirals (but not remdesivir), half of the participants got daily doses of colchicine for up to three weeks, while the other half did not.
The results "suggest a significant clinical benefit from colchicine in patients hospitalized with COVID-19," according to the team led by Dr. Spyridon Deftereos, a cardiologist at Attikon Hospital in Attiki, Greece.
Specifically, while the condition of seven of 50 patients who didn’t get colchicine "clinically deteriorated" to a severe stage (for example, requiring mechanical ventilation to survive), this was true for just one of the 55 patients who did receive colchicine, the researchers said.”
“Dr. Amir Rabbani, a cardiologist at the University of California, Los Angeles, and colleagues stressed in the editorial that the study size was too small to offer a definitive statement on whether colchicine should be used routinely against COVID-19.
But they said that its effects on certain blood markers of heart function—as observed in the new study—suggest that colchicine has anti-inflammatory and anti-clotting effects that could help limit the cardiovascular damage wreaked by COVID-19.”
“The colchicine study is currently recruiting patients, with UCSF and New York University School of Medicine being the first two U.S. sites involved.”
I am huge proponent of testing wastewater treatment plants. Not sure why this is not done ASAP and reported. A sense of the general population infection is better understood vs. testing individuals given individual testing becomes a function of demographics that show up to be tested. This is a fascinating report indicating the virus could go back to March 2019 – https://www.complex.com/life/2020/06/coronavirus-traces-reportedly-found-in-spanish-wastewater-samples-from-2019
“According to Reuters, researchers at the University of Barcelona announced Friday they had detected COVID-19 in sewage samples collected in March 2019—about nine months before the disease was first reported in Wuhan, China. The team of researchers said they began testing frozen wastewater samples taken between January 2018 and December 2019. All samples reportedly tested negative for coronavirus traces, except for the March 12, 2019 sample. However, research leader Albert Bosch emphasized that the levels of SARS-CoV-2 were low.”
“The study has since been submitted for peer review, but independent experts say more tests and data are needed before the findings can be confirmed. Some have also pointed to the possibility of a false positive.
"When it’s just one result, you always want more data, more studies, more samples to confirm it and rule out a laboratory error or a methodological problem," said Dr. Joan Ramon Villalbi, a board member of the Spanish Society for Public Health and Sanitary Administration. "It’s definitely interesting, it’s suggestive."
New Zealand made big press headlines for eliminating covid – this article shows how hard it will be to stay that way if you want to maintain any lifestyle we had – or perhaps you just got to be on an island – https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/jun/28/new-zealands-covid-19-isolation-facilities-under-extreme-stress-review-finds
“The review found “resources required to support the managed isolation and quarantine (MIQ) function have failed to keep pace with the increased volume of returnees”.”
Can you really contain the young people? It is hard enough to contain teenagers – https://www.houstonchronicle.com/news/houston-texas/houston/article/Harris-County-young-adults-contracted-COVID-19-at-15371539.php
“The number of reported coronavirus cases has tripled in Harris County since mid-May. People 20 to 29 made up nearly a quarter of all new cases, according to a Houston Chronicle analysis of Harris County Public Health data.”
Population wise they should represent 17% not 25%…Not sure why the reporter would not present the population distribution – here it is again so you can read the article with greater perspective
“That group now comprises more than a fifth of the county’s total confirmed cases, up from a little more than 16 percent on May 15. People aged 30 to 39 made up roughly the same amount, making those two age groups the largest drivers of the increase — mirroring state and national trends that place younger people at the center of the dramatic surge.”
Reasonable to be around fifth of the total confirmed given pop. Distribution and likelihood of going out vs. other age group
Not sure I will agree with the statement below – other than the govt. should have probably noted the risk more and also promoted more mask wearing and offer business guidelines to improve their stores to reduce breakout odds. Going out is certainly not risk free but its in your power to be educated and understand what you can do to minimize your risk.
““You can’t allow the state’s leadership and government to say that something is all right to do … and then get upset with them for doing what they were allowed to do,” she said. “They failed people.””
To me it looks like the disease DETECTION is just being normalized to the population at hand leading to my point that much of the detection is detecting what is out there. IF the numbers go way out of the population distribution then we do have spreading beyond what is out there. The virus knows no age when it comes to infection.
“On the other hand, people 40 and older, while still seeing an increase in the number of cases, comprise a smaller portion of the overall number compared to their younger counterparts. They went from making up 55 percent of all cases to a little more than 46 percent as of June 26.”
Here is the fear line which hold some truths
“Several Houston hospitals could not immediately provide data on hospitalization rates among people in their 20s or 30s, but executives said they have seen young people in ICUs and hooked up to intubators. In some cases, they are discharged with long-term lung damage, Persse said”
Here is the balance line
“Only two people under 30 have died from COVID-19 in Harris County and they both had an underlying health condition, according to local health data. Seven people between 30 and 39 have died from coronavirus.”
What is needed is the numbers with long-term lung damage is that a lot or a few and did it require comorbidities?
The virus may not know age when it comes to infection – but it does seem to know age when it comes to fatality.
“As of June 26, people 60 and older make up more than 80 percent of the county’s 361 deaths despite making up less than half of the county’s 27,000-plus confirmed cases.”
The herd influence is strong
““At first I would go out and I had a mask on, and you see nobody’s wearing a mask,” he said. “You kind of get comfortable.””
Unfortunately for Brazil they continue to lead the death delta 1109. US leads in confirmation.
Arizona takes the death leader for the US at 44. Florida sees 9.6K new confirmation.
This view is the confirmation for the past 4 weeks and you can see the hotspot for FL is Miami-Dade. LA county CA has grown the most (33K confirms) even though they are in stay at home orders – so this would not necessarily support that opening economy is necessarily causing increase confirmations. Closing economy either is ineffective because unenforceable and/or the disease is already rampant in society. IF you don’t want to be confirmed live in the middle of nowhere – perhaps can’t get or don’t know you got it because they don’t test.
With all these confirmations in the US the fatality rate continues to drift down- now at 5% and falling.