Covid 7/21/20

If you have been reading – over and over it has been stated your covid spread is not coming from random strangers – the DATA clearly shows that….but if you insist on a study – The study was actually focused on understanding spread via age group but they uncovered that spreading is coming primarily from household members not non-household contacts – over 10X difference. – https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/article/26/10/20-1315_article

“A total of 11.8% (95% CI 11.2%–12.4%) household contacts of index patients had COVID-19; in households with an index patient 10–19 years of age, 18.6% (95% CI 14.0%–24.0%) of contacts had COVID-19. For 48,481 nonhousehold contacts, the detection rate was 1.9% (95% CI 1.8%–2.0%) (Table 2). With index patients 30–39 years of age as reference, detection of COVID-19 contacts was significantly higher for index patients >40 years of age in nonhousehold settings. For most age groups, COVID-19 was detected in significantly more household than nonhousehold contacts (Table 2).”

“Earlier studies on the infection rate for symptomatic household contacts in the United States reported 10.5% (95% CI 2.9%–31.4%), significantly higher than for nonhousehold contacts”

ALSO VERY IMPORTANT TO NOTE – as I said before school closure not likely to result in what you think. On many social media post – parents and retired teachers and others are organizing gatherings which are likely worse than a school setting given they can’t centralized a mechanical solution to mitigate viral load. People behaviors cannot be ignored!

“We also found the highest COVID-19 rate (18.6% [95% CI 14.0%–24.0%]) for household contacts of school-aged children and the lowest (5.3% [95% CI 1.3%–13.7%]) for household contacts of children 0–9 years in the middle of school closure. Despite closure of their schools, these children might have interacted with each other, although we do not have data to support that hypothesis.”

Schools should open WITH the most advanced affordable solution to mitigate viral load – from simply opening windows, modify HVAC to introduce more fresh air, to adding UVC lighting in ventilation, and wearing mask!

Short on cash? Houston Clinic offering $2000 to test Covid-19 – somehow this doesn’t seem right – https://www.newsweek.com/houston-clinics-offering-2000-those-willing-test-covid-19-vaccine-1519200

“The Texas Center for Drug Development is looking for 1,000 Houston-area volunteers to receive the experimental Moderna COVID-19 vaccine in its third phase of testing. Each volunteer will get up to $2,000 for participating.”

“She said, "This is not a live vaccine, so you cannot contract coronavirus from this vaccine itself." While the earlier phases of the vaccine trials looked at safety and side effects, phase three will focus on its effectiveness.”

“Side effects in the first two Moderna vaccine trials were generally mild, with 50 percent reporting muscle aches or pain at the injection site, fatigue, headache or chills.”

“Epidemiologists estimate that 70 percent of the population will need to develop immunity in order to end the pandemic, whether through vaccinations or other means, according to Science Magazine.”

No potential to get super powers? To make it less prey on the poor/desperate perhaps I hope it comes with a lifetime of care and potential life insurance if something went wrong – at least come with some Moderna stock – skin in the game.

Lets go eat some cabbage! Kimchi is pretty good you just got to make that leap of faith it will turn out okay for your taste buds – https://nypost.com/2020/07/20/foods-containing-cabbage-could-help-fight-coronavirus/

“According to a new study from France, foods containing raw and fermented cabbage may be beneficial against the coronavirus by reducing the levels of a compound that helps the virus infect the body, the South China Morning Post reported Monday.”

“The European researchers said the abundant antioxidants in the vegetables could explain why countries where cabbage is a key part of the national diet, like Germany and South Korea, had lower fatality rates than hard-hit countries such as the US.”

““Little attention has been given to the spread and severity of the virus, and regional differences in diet, but diet changes may be of great benefit. Nutrition may play a role in the immune defense against COVID-19 and may explain some of the differences seen in COVID-19 across Europe. I have now changed my diet, and it includes raw cabbage three times a week, sauerkraut once a week, and pickled vegetables,” he said.”

“It found Germany has significantly lower mortality, as did Austria, the Czech Republic, Poland, Slovakia, the Baltic states and Finland, where cabbage is popular. Bulgaria, Greece and Romania also had reduced death rates, whereas fatalities were much higher in Belgium, France, Italy, Spain and the UK, where less cabbage is consumed,”

I am not surprised that we could see that diet and lifestyle is the key. Remember the previous report it was shown cholesterol drug was beneficial highlighting high cholesterol allowing a path for Covid. Study needs to be done on demographic lifestyle/diet. Hypothesis Vegans are likely a very good group when it comes to limiting Covid-19 fatalities. Lets revamp our food system and our health criteria and we can avoid pandemics and other health issues – imagine the economic savings. Do Singaporeans eat lots of cabbage? Belgium, UK, Italy, and France must not have a lot of cabbage – high cholesterol diet?

Mechanical solutions coming to reduce viral load – lets engineering ourselves out of our homes – https://www.foxnews.com/tech/pittsburgh-coronavirus-drone-disinfect-stadium-3-hours

“Aeras Fog Company, which is based in Wexford, Pa., said the machine utilizes electrostatic technology to sanitize large areas by discharging cleaner through its nozzles, which attach to both ground surfaces and underneath seats and other surfaces, like railings. It can spray up to 20 acres per hour.”

“Aeras Fog said the drone can be used indoors and out and that any cleaned area can be safely occupied three minutes after it is sprayed. The company recently tested the drone system on Pittsburgh’s Highmark Stadium and expects to have all the required certifications by this fall.”

I wanted to show/demonstrate how the latest outbreak is not even close to what happened in NY. Took several days to get the technology aligned with my vision. Below is a graph with day count starting when the first day 7 day moving average of daily deaths were above 75. You can see NY ended up at over 200 deaths/day less than week after hitting the 75 7 day moving average death level. In 12 days this figure was over 500 deaths per day. I have no idea why any would brag about how well NY is doing now….they are such an outlier in the world that they would eventually produced low deaths at some point. Texas is at 10 days and currently still at 119 deaths/day. Certainly this is 119 too high but in relationship to NYC it’s a miracle given the context of confirmations are much higher (3X) than NY. The peak for NY occurred day 22 after hitting 75 7 day MA death. CA is past that point but they are still very flat around 100 deaths. NY state is still averaging 16. Total deaths CA vs. NY still big gap even with CA recent surge. Even New Jersey with death revisions is a far cry from what was seen in NY. State and local officials have to be held accountable for such awful outcome.

With most of all the issues in NY due to NYC – excluding NYC the numbers would be so much lower.

Monday still showing low daily deaths. Brazil at 632…US only 372

Texas leads the death at only 94 ….Confirmation increases in CA and FL.

Same counties in confirmation increases as discussed previously.

Still no signs of crisis in Houston. Covid ICU bed needs have been trending down since July 5th.