Lots of talk about that FL, TX, CA, and AZ fatality rates are low because of improved treatment plans etc….ok if that’s the case shouldn’t this treatment plan apply to all the country at least in the past month….Below few graphs are just July data.

NY and NJ observing much higher fatality rates. FL and CA are a big percentage of confirmation yet a smaller piece of the death percentage. The confirmations rates are certainly not consistent state by state. NY test more than FL and TX yet confirmations are 18X different. Something seems very strange.

As I have always been saying rolling up this type of data only gives a high level assessment of reality – which can be misleading. If we zoom into the counties and filter only counties with 500+ confirmation and greater than 2.5% fatality rate you get the following. NJ counties are not where you want to be if you are confirmed. New York City the epicenter the one with all the experience – still at 4.4% fatality rate!

All these counties are relatively small in the grand scheme of confirmations for the month of July. Our big four counties always talked about (LA, Harris, Miami-Dade, and Maricopa) represents almost 15% of total confirmations for the month of July. Look at their fatality rates well under 2% for the month of July. Top number % of total confirmations in the US – bottom number fatality rate in the county.

This disparity suggest something is going on. Testing is not uniform – the analysis of confirmation and the analysis of deaths need to almost be taken independently. Who are the vendors of test? Are we consistently using the best test available? State by state differs? What is the point of testing – are we doing something about test results? Are death attributes to covid becoming too high or too low in some counties– so much disparity in different counties?

Unfortunately more questions than answers when examining July results in the US.

Midweek reporting death surge – US 1399 – likely to play catch up with the low numbers observed last two days

TX leading the way in deaths 255

Once again a significant portion of TX deaths are showing up in unassigned counties (49)– still have no idea what that means. San Bernardino reported 59 deaths – highest in the country. Confirmations continue to grow in the big 4 counties.

Big 4 – still keeping the fatality rate low

Fatality rates in UK and Italy are still way higher than the big 4 counties