Covid 8/8/20

On 8/2/20 (https://covid19mathblog.com/2020/08/covid-8-2-20/) – I noted increase temp July 31 (high 99 in Paris, London, Wuhan, and 88 Tokyo) – . Well unfortunately the temps are still getting up there and correspondingly covid confirmations are rising greater than the past few weeks. There is no doubt our indoor living is contributing to the increase in covid. Extreme high temps and low temps, we huddle into our comforts of our homes – but we don’t do it in isolation we have relatives and friends and they unknowingly bring covid and with our recycling HVAC unit and highly efficient homes the viral load builds up to the point of infection.

It is not about viral load = zero but viral load being managed to be low to shift the odds into your favor to not get infected as noted in previous article I posted – https://www.alternet.org/2020/04/new-study-reveals-the-best-conditions-for-spreading-coronavirus/

“…similar virus also in the coronavirus family, the MERS (Middle East Respiratory Syndrome) coronavirus, is known to require somewhere between 1,000 and 10,0000 viral particles in order to infect a person. Since SARS-CoV-2 is more transmissible, Willem van Schaik, a professor of microbiology at the University of Birmingham, estimates that the number of particles needed to become infected is in the high hundreds or low thousands.”

I believe we can engineer are way out of this problem. We need to be fast tracking not these mega pharma options alone but our own engineering solutions to reduce viral load. This material has been demonstrated in independent labs to filter and deactivate covid this should be fast tracked to the market/research to see if this shifts the odds into our favor – https://www.ascendmaterials.com/innovations/acteev-technology/acteev-protect-antimicrobial-technology

These smaller engineered solutions don’t come with top end lobbying money nor advertisements on your TV but they are there.

US and Brazil continue to report deaths back over 1K

US death is lead by TX at 278

This time Harris county is leading the death count in TX at 55

Still haven’t fixed the time series as it is easier said than done but the 55 deaths in Harris county is based on the new death data. Two days ago is the spike revision to the dataset – highlights the major revision that occurred. Now the lowest fatality rate is in Miami-Dade county at 1.4%