Covid19mathblog.com

Conspiracy weekend with some interesting timed releases.

Fauci concedes that Covid perhaps not developed naturally – hmmm could Trump be right after all? – https://bgr.com/science/coronavirus-update-dr-fauci-not-sure-covid-19-developed-naturally-lab-leak-theory-5927190/?bgr-partner=flipboard

“In an interview with Dr. Anthony Fauci published around this time last year by National Geographic, the longtime director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases strongly pushed back against the notion that the virus at the heart of the COVID-19 pandemic — which as of the time of this writing has killed around 590,000 Americans — was in all likelihood a naturally occurring virus”

“Exactly 12 months later, however, Dr. Fauci is now the chief medical advisor for the Biden White House, and he now appears prepared to do a 180 on the origin of the coronavirus pandemic.”

“Dr. Fauci’s answer: “No actually,” he said, about 12 minutes into the event (footage of which is available here). “I am not convinced about that. I think we should continue to investigate what went on in China until we find out to the best of our ability exactly what happened.” As he continued, Dr. Fauci added that there have certainly been authoritative experts who’ve investigated and said that COVID-19 likely emerged from an animal reservoir of some kind, “but it could have been something else. And we need to find that out.””

Supporting the conspiracy is the documented sickness occurring in researchers in fall of 2019 – https://www.cnn.com/2021/05/23/politics/us-intelligence-report-wuhan-lab-researchers-coronavirus-origin/

“A US intelligence report found that several researchers at China’s Wuhan Institute of Virology fell ill in November 2019 and had to be hospitalized, a new detail about the severity of their symptoms that could fuel further debate about the origins of the coronavirus pandemic, according to two people briefed on the intelligence.

A State Department fact sheet released by the Trump administration in January said that the researchers had gotten sick in autumn 2019 but did not go as far as to say they had been hospitalized. China reported to the World Health Organization that the first patient with Covid-like symptoms was recorded in Wuhan on December 8, 2019.

The Wall Street Journal first reported on the intelligence surrounding the earlier hospitalizations.

Importantly, the intelligence community still does not know what the researchers were actually sick with, said the people briefed, and continues to have low confidence in its assessments of the virus’ precise origins beyond the fact that it came from China. "At the end of the day, there is still nothing definitive," said one of the people who has seen the intelligence.”

Noted several times here that it was important to supply test results with CT levels and there was no standardization….now conveniently the CDC is requiring standardization for vaccinated with CT less than 28! – wow at the time the data was showing up to 32 – 28 and lower will eliminate a lot of positive confirmations. Removing asymptomatic is huge too. As noted before we have NEVER measured asymptomatic flu/cold so it was a new thing to measure asymptomatic covid. I am not a full fledge believer in zerohedge but they do report things faster with a deeper skepticism. I do agree this is quite fishy. https://www.zerohedge.com/covid-19/caught-red-handed-cdc-changes-test-thresholds-virtually-eliminate-new-covid-cases-among

“Firstly, they are lowering their CT value when testing samples from suspected “breakthrough infections”.

From the CDC’s instructions for state health authorities on handling “possible breakthrough infections” (uploaded to their website in late April):

For cases with a known RT-PCR cycle threshold (Ct) value, submit only specimens with Ct value ≤28 to CDC for sequencing. (Sequencing is not feasible with higher Ct values.)

Throughout the pandemic, CT values in excess of 35 have been the norm, with labs around the world going into the 40s.

Essentially labs were running as many cycles as necessary to achieve a positive result, despite experts warning that this was pointless (even Fauci himself said anything over 35 cycles is meaningless).

But NOW, and only for fully vaccinated people, the CDC will only accept samples achieved from 28 cycles or fewer. That can only be a deliberate decision in order to decrease the number of “breakthrough infections” being officially recorded.

Secondly, asymptomatic or mild infections will no longer be recorded as “covid cases”.

That’s right. Even if a sample collected at the low CT value of 28 can be sequenced into the virus alleged to cause Covid19, the CDC will no longer be keeping records of breakthrough infections that don’t result in hospitalisation or death.

From their website:

As of May 1, 2021, CDC transitioned from monitoring all reported vaccine breakthrough cases to focus on identifying and investigating only hospitalized or fatal cases due to any cause. This shift will help maximize the quality of the data collected on cases of greatest clinical and public health importance. Previous case counts, which were last updated on April 26, 2021, are available for reference only and will not be updated moving forward.

Just like that, being asymptomatic – or having only minor symptoms – will no longer count as a “Covid case” but only if you’ve been vaccinated.

The CDC has put new policies in place which effectively created a tiered system of diagnosis. Meaning, from now on, unvaccinated people will find it much easier to be diagnosed with Covid19 than vaccinated people.

Consider…

Person A has not been vaccinated. They test positive for Covid using a PCR test at 40 cycles and, despite having no symptoms, they are officially a “covid case”.

Person B has been vaccinated. They test positive at 28 cycles, and spend six weeks bedridden with a high fever. Because they never went into a hospital and didn’t die they are NOT a Covid case.

Person C, who was also vaccinated, did die. After weeks in hospital with a high fever and respiratory problems. Only their positive PCR test was 29 cycles, so they’re not officially a Covid case either.

The CDC is demonstrating the beauty of having a “disease” that can appear or disappear depending on how you measure it.

To be clear: If these new policies had been the global approach to “Covid” since December 2019, there would never have been a pandemic at all.”

India still leading

Confirmation still heading down for India. Deaths are still not going down.

State of Tamil Nadu leading confirmation

FL leading confirmation. IL leading death in US

Halved the confirmation limit – now 4 counties show up above 250+ confirm

Covid19mathblog.com

The Indian variant making headlines plus impacting travel.

https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/triple-mutant-covid-variant-identified-24161494

“There have been 49 cases found so far of the new variant mainly in Yorkshire and Humber with people being told not to be alarmed by it.

The mutant form of Covid is a “variant under investigation” but there is no evidence yet to say it is more transmissible or resistant to vaccines.

At the same time, the government has said that the Covid R rate is now somewhere between 0.9 and 1.1 which is the highest it has been since the second wave peak back in January.”

Positive news for variant – https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/jabs-could-fail-protect-against-24161685

“The Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies warns jabs currently in use may "boost protection" over the next two winters – but potentially less so for people with a ‘less robust’ immune response”

Where is the message to get healthy? Of course those with less robust immune system with or without vaccine will get impacted – IF you are healthier you will have a much greater chance to not be impacted by covid.

“Data from a study of vaccinated Indian healthcare workers earlier this week showed also that the Oxford/AstraZeneca jab is 97% effective against the variant.”

https://www.euronews.com/2021/05/22/germany-says-uk-is-area-of-variant-concern-bans-all-non-essential-travel

“Germany on Friday classified the UK as an "area of variant concern", banning all but essential travel to the country.

The measure will come into force on Sunday.

The German Embassy in the UK said the new classification is due to "local outbreaks occurring again, including cases of more infectious variants such as the Indian variant at present."

Ambassador Andreas Michaelis said the decision was taken after looking "at all available data and details. We did not take this decision lightly."”

Its still India. Fatality rate inching up – likely will get near 2% which would mean at least 50% more deaths.

Deaths still holding up but growth is much less for India

Tamil Nadu the southern coast state now leading in confirmations

US front FL leads both confirmation and death

Only Cook County showed up in our county alert

Covid19mathblog.com

Utah does stick out in fatality rate compared to other states. As we said just be young and healthy! Utah youngest state – also see lots of sunshine and there is a lot of land out there compared to population.

Still about India

Karnataka leads the confirmation

Good news India death flattening out again.

On the state front we have FL leading confirmation and MI leading deaths

US hot spot is limited to Cook and Miami Dade

Covid19mathblog.com

New treatment drug available with high effectiveness – New Antiviral Drug Developed With 99.9 Per Cent Efficacy Against COVID-19 | The Weather Channel – Articles from The Weather Channel | weather.com

“The new antiviral approach used gene-silencing RNA technology called siRNA (small-interfering RNA) to attack the virus’ genome directly, which stops the virus from replicating. This approach also uses lipid nanoparticles designed at Griffith University and the City of Hope to deliver the siRNA to the lungs, the critical site of infection.

"Treatment with virus-specific siRNA reduces viral load by 99.9 per cent. These stealth nanoparticles can be delivered to a wide range of lung cells and silence viral genes," said co-lead researcher Nigel McMillan, Professor at Menzies Health Institute Queensland (MHIQ) at Griffith University.

When tested in SARS-Cov-2 infected mice the treatment with the therapy improved survival chances. Remarkably, in treated survivors, no virus could be detected in the lungs, the findings published in the journal Molecular Therapy, reported.

"This treatment is designed to work on all beta coronaviruses such as the original SARS virus (SARS-CoV-1) as well as SARS-CoV-2 and any new variants that may arise in the future because it targets ultra-conserved regions in the virus’ genome," added Kevin Morris, Professor and associate director of the Center for Gene Therapy at City of Hope.

Further, the researchers also showed that the nanoparticles are stable at 4°C for 12 months and at room temperature for greater than one month. This means that this agent could be used in low-resource settings to treat infected patients.”

Hmmm increase incidences in Singapore and Taiwan being discussed perhaps news is slowing down – look at graphs below – so small I had to use Log chart – no doubt an increase but coming from essentially zero – Covid-19: What went wrong in Singapore and Taiwan? – BBC News

“They’ve been hailed as virus success stories – places that have seen virtually zero or single-digit Covid cases since the start of the year.

But this month, Singapore and Taiwan have both seen a sudden and aggressive rise in cases – with Singapore logging 248 new cases just last week, and Taiwan 1,200 local infections.

Both places have gone into a heightened state of restrictions, limiting the size of social gatherings and closing schools.

By global standards, these numbers may seem small – but for these places, these figures would have been unthinkable just months ago. So what exactly went wrong?”

Personally there is overweight celebration as a result of vaccination. I have been anticipating May to be the end of the surge for Covid in the US for quite some time. The timing was impeccable as the weather got better. There is no coincidence that flu and colds also go away this time – AND those without vaccine. I do believe vaccine plays a role but not the to extent suggested. Naturally people are going out and exercising which also boost the immune system. Then the fact the coronavirus doesn’t encapsulate themselves in the heat is leaving them more vulnerable in the air. Hypothesis: Potentially A/C creates cold pockets initiating encapsulation allowing them to sustain themselves longer indoors. Potential to get a summer blip IF we don’t ventilate better and/or use devices to reduce the virus.

Still India leading….US is approaching 10% confirmed per capita

India confirmation taking a strong drop now….unfortunately not deaths

Given the US sample of 50 states….I suspect a typical society will get to 10% confirmed per capita – or significant levels of vaccinations would need to be done.

Hmm not sure why Lollapalooza going to be Chicago….still the top confirming county in the US

Vaccination has slowed down significantly in the US

Even the live free or die state still has decent vaccination levels

Covid19mathblog.com

NPR interview Dr. Wen former head of planned parenthood now noted as public health professor at George Washington University about the recent change per mask from CDC – https://www.knkx.org/post/how-do-we-know-whether-people-without-masks-indoors-are-vaccinated

“I agree that people who are fully vaccinated are well protected themselves for the most part. There is an exception. That’s individuals who are immunocompromised, which is actually a lot of individuals. I mean, patients, for example, who have cancer and are on chemotherapy are not as well protected or people who have organ transplants or on immunosuppressants. That’s actually a lot of people as well. The other thing, too, is there are lots of unvaccinated individuals who actually are made less safe by this policy. I have two little kids. I have a 1-year-old and a 3-year-old. If I’m bringing them into the grocery store, they’re not vaccinated, not because I don’t believe in vaccinations. I would love for them to be vaccinated, but they can’t be.”

“I am still going to be cautious. I also live in an area where I think it will not be accepted if I don’t wear a mask because, again, you can’t tell if somebody is vaccinated or not. And I also want to be careful to protect those in the community who are the most vulnerable. I’m very fortunate that I’m well protected through vaccination, but children are not. Those who are immunocompromised are not fully. And I still think it’s a good idea for us to use an abundance of caution, especially to protect those who are more vulnerable.”

Rationale discussion – but mask BEFORE covid likely helped these individuals (immunocompromised). It wasn’t a long time ago US society made fun of Asian countries wearing mask. Now it would seem there is a strong trend to have US society wear mask as a permanent culture with the premise of helping the minority immunocompromised so they don’t have live in a bottle and have more freedom.

And so it has spread….Indian variant in Scotland…why unlabeled source what’s the deal with secrecy? – https://www.dailyrecord.co.uk/news/politics/scots-hospital-indian-variant-despite-24113860

“People in Scotland who have already been vaccinated against coronavirus are being treated in hospital for the new Indian variant.

This was one of the driving factors for the Scottish Government deciding to keep Glasgow in a higher level of lockdown, the Record can reveal.

A source told how there are believed to be six patients – who have had the vaccine – currently being treated for complications suspected to be related to the variant which has been deadly in India.”

Still India leading the global covid stats

At least both death and confirmation starting to go the other way

Still a long way for Mahaarshtra

FL leads confirmation for US MI leads death

Not many hotspots

Covid19mathblog.com

The big news is the CDC stance on mask – a big reversal from just a few weeks ago when Biden gave a speech to give you only 2 freedoms from mask out of 14 ( https://covid19mathblog.com/2021/04/covid-4-28-21/ ) ….now you get all activities without mask. Did they get so much knowledge since 4/28/21? Vaccination drop stimulated to give more carrots to get vaccinated?

On the same day we hear about Yankee players and Bill Maher being part of the breakthrough club – https://myfox8.com/news/fully-vaccinated-bill-maher-tests-positive-for-covid-19/ & https://www.forbes.com/sites/joshuacohen/2021/05/13/covid-19-outbreak-among-8-fully-vaccinated-members-of-ny-yankee-organization-implications-for-cdc-guidance-on-masking/?sh=5eef74b63412

Interesting to note Bill Maher currently has no symptoms.

Interesting study shows second shot better to be 12 wks later vs. 3 wks – https://www.theguardian.com/science/2021/may/14/delay-in-giving-second-jabs-of-pfizer-vaccine-improves-immunity

“Study finds antibodies against Sars-CoV-2 three-and-a-half times higher in people vaccinated again after 12 weeks rather than three”

“Dr Helen Parry, a senior author on the study at Birmingham, said: “We’ve shown that peak antibody responses after the second Pfizer vaccination are really strongly boosted in older people when this is delayed to 11 to 12 weeks. There is a marked difference between these two schedules in terms of antibody responses we see.”

India View – At the very least a geography lesson. There are 37 states – I am not sure I could come up with a song for all of them like I can do for the US 50 states.

Delhi leads in confirmation per capita 8.2% – Maharashtra leads in absolute numbers in confirms and deaths. Also one of the worse regions in terms of fatality rate – only Sikkim is higher at 1.8%.

There are positive signs of reduction in many states – however Tamil Nadu is rising along with Odisha and Assam.

You can see why we broke out India – it continues to be the top death and confirmation country by far

India such a large explosion did such a good job for so long. US confirmation back to Sept 20 levels.

FL leads the US and MI leads in Death

Philadelphia shows up as number 1 confirmation county.

Covid19mathblog.com

If you want to get more people (at least 50% of the population) to take the vaccine and/or continue to mask up – you probably should lead with this – Risk(skewed now)/ Reward https://www.webmd.com/lung/news/20210407/erectile-dysfunction-risk-6-times-higher-in-men-with-covid

“COVID-19 increases the risk of developing erectile dysfunction (ED) by nearly six times, according to data from the first study to investigate the association between ED and COVID-19 in young men in a real-life setting.”

“"Mask Up to Keep It Up"

ED can be both a short-term and a long-term complication of COVID-19, Jannini suggests.”

“Results showed that the prevalence of ED was significantly higher among men who self-reported a history of COVID-19 compared to a matching COVID-negative population (28% vs 9.33%).After adjusting for variables that are considered to have a bearing on the development of ED, such as psychological status, age, and BMI, the odds ratio for developing ED after having had COVID-19 was 5.66%.

Similarly, after adjusting for age and BMI, men with ED were 5.27% more likely to have COVID‐19. ”

Its India again

India confirmation looks to be coming down….hopefully we are past peak

FL leads confirmation again – noticed the uniform confirmation per capita amount states….~10% similar to note fatality rate ~2%

Providence RI number 1 county – this has happened a few times

Covid19mathblog.com

The misinformation for outdoor transmission is a mystery – why? – IF outdoor is really so low transmission – why = ventilation (solution to pollution is dilution) – if ventilation can we not just create that ventilation for indoors – yes – how to measure = CO2 censors <1000ppm – cost effective!- https://reason.com/2021/05/11/cdc-greatly-exaggerates-risk-of-outdoor-covid-19-transmission/

“On April 27, CDC Director Rochelle Walensky grudgingly acknowledged that fully vaccinated people could gather outdoors and conduct outdoor activities without wearing a mask. She cited increasing data that a person is much more likely to get infected with COVID-19 through close extended contacts indoors. Walensky added, "Less than 10 percent of documented transmission in many studies has occurred outdoors. We also know there’s almost a 20-fold increased risk of transmission in the indoor setting rather than the outdoor setting."”

“That [10 percent] benchmark "seems to be a huge exaggeration," as Dr. Muge Cevik, a virologist at the University of St. Andrews, said. In truth, the share of transmission that has occurred outdoors seems to be below 1 percent and may be below 0.1 percent, multiple epidemiologists told me. The rare outdoor transmission that has happened almost all seems to have involved crowded places or close conversation.

Saying that less than 10 percent of Covid transmission occurs outdoors is akin to saying that sharks attack fewer than 20,000 swimmers a year. (The actual worldwide number is around 150.) It’s both true and deceiving.…”

Got to love the wayback machine – why try to wipe out the past – it just creates more suspicion when caught – also fact unknown Fauci highest paid federal employee ($417K) more than the President! – https://thenationalpulse.com/exclusive/fauci-scientists-attended-wuhan-lab-conference/

“In addition to funding research groups collaborating with the Wuhan Institute of Virology, Dr. Anthony Fauci also approved National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases researchers’ attendance at a conference sponsored by the lab believed by many to be the source of COVID-19.”

Two researchers from Dr. Fauci’s National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID) were in attendance at the 2016 event which discussed emerging viral diseases, infections and antiviral immunity – all critical to the COVID-19 response.

Dr. Fauci has served as Director of the institute since 1984 and remains the highest paid U.S. government employee despite a bevy of false prognostications and outright lies.

At the time of the conference, attendee Kanta Subbarao served as Chief of the NIAID’s Emerging Respiratory Viruses Section and Nancy Sullivan served as Chief of the Biodefense Research Section at the NIAID’s Vaccine Research Center. Sullivan still serves under Fauci while Subbarao departed the agency to become Director of the World Health Organization’s Collaborating Centre for Reference and Research on Influenza.”

It made sense sooner or later someone would claim with the experiments with the coronavirus we will eliminate colds! – wow our immune system wont have to do anything anymore….Note where Moderna & Pfizer got the basis yet they get to make $$$ – also note the funding boost (means justify ends?) ….https://www.newsweek.com/2021/05/28/universal-vaccine-may-soon-protect-against-all-coronaviruses-including-common-cold-1590601.html?

“Barney Graham, Jason McLellan and their collaborators just a weekend in January 2020 to design a novel vaccine they believed would be capable of protecting people against COVID-19. Their design formed the basis for the vaccines that Moderna, Pfizer and others would eventually use to inoculate millions of Americans a little more than a year later, a pace of development unprecedented in the annals of modern medicine.”

“"We want to be proactive rather than reactive to coronaviruses," McLellan says. "The idea is to develop a single vaccine that could protect against all different coronaviruses, including ones that are still in bats and haven’t emerged yet." The idea isn’t new. Many scientists were already working on pandemic preparation projects before the coronavirus hit, including several experimental pan-coronavirus vaccines….Scientists have also been working for years on a universal influenza vaccine that would do away with the need for a yearly shot that only protects against some common strains. Scientists have long complained that these efforts—particularly those geared toward coronaviruses—have been hampered by low funding and a lack of urgency. Now that may be changing. Over the last six months, the National Institutes of Health (NIH) issued a notice of "special interest" calling for research labs to apply for funding to develop a universal coronavirus vaccine. Democrats have introduced legislation that would allocate a $1 billion investment for the project, and private foundations and public health officials have promised to contribute, too.”

Not recommended treatment for covid – https://www.reuters.com/world/india/indian-doctors-warn-against-cow-dung-covid-cure-2021-05-11/

“In the state of Gujarat in western India, some believers have been going to cow shelters once a week to cover their bodies in cow dung and urine in the hope it will boost their immunity against, or help them recover from, the coronavirus.”

India deaths over 4K

The pace of death increase is slowing – but deaths per day is still rising and not likely peaked.

Concerns for high vaccinated places have been written about. Many criticize opening up – but that’s the whole point to be able to open up with a less death/hospitalization outcome – not a ZERO risk outcome? Confirmation rising should be understandable as long as deaths/fatality rates are low. The only high vac place with increasing fatality is Israel. Even though Seychelles confirmations have risen their death rates similar to the past.

FL leads confirmation MI leads death in the US

Only 2 counties made the cut for confirmation increases – Miami and Cook IL for all of US counties.

Covid19mathblog.com

Well the FDA approves Pfizer for adolescents – but note this is under Emergency Authorization – IF there is a treatment which many believe there is (ivermectin) they should go through normal process for approval- https://www.fda.gov/news-events/press-announcements/coronavirus-covid-19-update-fda-authorizes-pfizer-biontech-covid-19-vaccine-emergency-use

“Today, the U.S. Food and Drug Administration expanded the emergency use authorization (EUA) for the Pfizer-BioNTech COVID-19 Vaccine for the prevention of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) to include adolescents 12 through 15 years of age. The FDA amended the EUA originally issued on Dec. 11, 2020 for administration in individuals 16 years of age and older.”

Side affect you need to know to balance out your risk/reward eqn….https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7874945/

“Given the expedited production of the vaccine and the novelty associated with its production, there may be information pertaining to side effects and individual response that remain to be discovered. Since both the Moderna and Pfizer Vaccine trials reported Bell’s Palsy as medically attended adverse events, the association between vaccine administration and onset of symptomatic Bell’s Palsy may warrant further investigation.”

Conspiracy theory – lab release – note she is the Dr that fled China – so perhaps she has some incentive to keep up the story – https://www.indiatoday.in/coronavirus-outbreak/story/coronavirus-intentionally-released-chinese-govt-misinformation-campaign-dr-le-meng-yan-1801107-2021-05-11

“In the backdrop of media reports referring to documents obtained by the US State Department alleging that Chinese military scientists investigated weaponising coronaviruses five years before the Covid-19 pandemic and may have predicted a World War III fought with biological weapons, India Today’s Gaurav Sawant speaks to Chinese virologist Dr Le-Meng Yan on the issue.”

“Dr Yan: I started telling people via YouTube anonymously from last January that this virus came from the PLA lab and that they discovered coronavirus after a lot of investment. They finally got a human-target virus and it was intentionally released. Also, the Chinese government knows it and that’s why they immediately had a response after the waiting hours.”

“Dr Yan: Yes, the medical system is one of the areas targeted by using these unrestricted bio-weapons.

So basically, in that report, senior officials five-six years ago had said that this bio-weapon, this should not be a high mortality one. The secondary use is to damage the enemies’ medical system and also the society. During a community trial in Wuhan last year, Wuhan was a mess.”

Fatality rate of India still relatively low

India balloon more apparent in time series view with rest of world….

On the US front NC showing highest confirmation with FL highest death

County basis Bexar, TX and Philly showing up as hot spots.

Dispersion is broad given the peak counties are much lower now.

Covid19mathblog.com

If adults would act like adults versus putting the burden on to the kids – schools could be open. The big missing piece I notice from this study is not filtering out the data by counties/schools districts as there are best practices – I know for a fact Cypress ISD modified all their ventilation systems to increase outdoor air flow. We see in our own data counties in the same state produce different results. Nonetheless the conclusion is schools should open and kids are not the primary direct cause of increase transmission but the adults doing things above and beyond teaching and staying at home. Don’t blame the act of going to school for increase transmission – which at some level is worth it for the well-being of the youths. https://www.nber.org/system/files/working_papers/w28753/w28753.pdf

“Overall, we find convincing evidence that opening schools led to community spread, and

was likely facilitated by increased mobility, which could arise both directly in schools but also indirectly through the behaviors of parents or other adults.”

“We then use SafeGraph mobility data to provide evidence that spillovers to adults’ behaviors

contributed to these large effects. Median time spent outside the home on a typical weekday

increased substantially in neighborhoods with large numbers of school-age children, suggesting a

return to in-person work or increased outside-of-home leisure activities among parents.”

If we implemented CO2 guidelines and use Ivermectin as standard practice for prophylaxis and treatment for COVID-19 we could significantly reduce the impact of Covid-19. If approved as treatment the vaccines could no longer be administered under the emergency act.

https://weather.com/en-IN/india/coronavirus/news/2021-05-08-use-of-ivermectin-medicine-globally-can-end-covid-19-pandemic

“Peer reviewed by medical experts that included three US government senior scientists and published in the American Journal of Therapeutics, the research is the most comprehensive review of the available data taken from clinical, in vitro, animal, and real-world studies.

Led by the Front Line COVID-19 Critical Care Alliance (FLCCC), a group of medical and scientific experts reviewed published peer-reviewed studies, manuscripts, expert meta-analyses, and epidemiological analyses of regions with ivermectin distribution efforts all showing that ivermectin is an effective prophylaxis and treatment for COVID-19.

"We did the work that the medical authorities failed to do, we conducted the most comprehensive review of the available data on ivermectin," said Pierre Kory, MD, president and chief medical officer of the FLCCC. "We applied the gold standard to qualify the data reviewed before concluding that ivermectin can end this pandemic."”

“Many regions around the world now recognise that ivermectin is a powerful prophylaxis and treatment for COVID-19. South Africa, Zimbabwe, Slovakia, Czech Republic, Mexico, and India have approved the drug for use by medical professionals.”

They probably should have noted when each of the above country approved this as most of those counties have high death per capita and fatality rates – perhaps that’s why they have approved it?

India the leader again

Good sign for India – peak likely hit – hopefully start moving down.

On the US front we see FL leading confirmation – NY leading deaths but we are now talking small numbers on relative basis

So small that barely any counties now make our threshold – but the typical cohorts.